Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Dec 1, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
Mainz2 - 0Hoffenheim
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 0-3 Mainz
Sunday, November 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Sunday, November 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
18
Last Game: Braga 3-0 Hoffenheim
Thursday, November 28 at 8pm in Europa League
Thursday, November 28 at 8pm in Europa League
We said: Mainz 05 1-1 Hoffenheim
Mainz could start slowly given they may not be familiar with Hoffenheim's style of play under Ilzer, but it is difficult to overlook the visitors' poor record on the road. While the hosts might not win on Sunday, Hoffenheim proved on Thursday that they are still vulnerable defensively, and it would not be surprising if the spoils were shared at Mewa Arena. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Hoffenheim |
41.25% ( 0.52) | 25.24% ( 0.35) | 33.5% ( -0.87) |
| Both teams to score 56.35% ( -1.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
