MX23RW : Monday, December 30 18:01:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Nov 3, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
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Freiburg
0 - 0
Mainz


Sildillia (90+2')
FT

Jae-sung (44'), Bell (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 2-1 Hamburger SV
Wednesday, October 30 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

Mainz 05

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 0-4 Bayern
Wednesday, October 30 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Freiburg 2-2 Mainz 05

 Mainz have struggled for positive results of late, and it would not be surprising if they failed to win once again on Sunday. However, it is difficult to ignore the visitors' strong away form, and perhaps Freiburg will have to settle for a point at home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 52.77%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 24.19% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawMainz 05
52.77% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 23.04% (0.126 0.13) 24.19% (-0.108 -0.11)
Both teams to score 57.32% (-0.546 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.96% (-0.665 -0.66)43.04% (0.67299999999999 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.56% (-0.662 -0.66)65.44% (0.67 0.67)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.68% (-0.238 -0.24)16.32% (0.246 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.1% (-0.442 -0.44)45.9% (0.45 0.45)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.5% (-0.44999999999999 -0.45)31.5% (0.458 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.11% (-0.526 -0.53)67.89% (0.53399999999999 0.53)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 52.77%
    Mainz 05 24.19%
    Draw 23.03%
FreiburgDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.32% (0.198 0.2)
2-0 @ 8.45% (0.11 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.9% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.11% (0.025 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.41% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.67% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.045 -0.04)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 52.77%
1-1 @ 10.76% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-0 @ 5.14% (0.151 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.03%
1-2 @ 6.22% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.94% (0.102 0.1)
0-2 @ 3.43% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.39% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 24.19%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Mainz

Freiburg
69.1%
Draw
23.5%
Mainz 05
7.4%
81
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2024 6.30pm
Gameweek 30
Freiburg
1-1
Mainz
Gregoritsch (6')
Kubler (31'), Hofler (42'), Holer (70')
Burkardt (40')
Jae-sung (35'), Krauss (62'), Caci (71'), van den Berg (85')
> Preview
Dec 3, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Mainz
0-1
Freiburg

Barreiro (29')
Gregoritsch (69')
Sallai (87')
> Preview
Mar 19, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 25
Mainz
1-1
Freiburg
Onisiwo (90+6')
Doan (55')
> Preview
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Freiburg
2-1
Mainz
Gregoritsch (3'), Kyereh (37')
Caricol (52')
> Preview
Feb 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
Freiburg
1-1
Mainz
Petersen (69')
Hack (31')
Stach (7'), Kohr (76')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226
> Bundesliga Full Table


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