MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 11:14:55| >> :600:702602:702602:
Freiburg logo
DFB-Pokal | Second Round
Oct 30, 2024 at 5pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Hamburg logo

Freiburg
2 - 1
Hamburger SV

Ginter (19'), Grifo (44' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)
Meffert (51')
Mikelbrencis (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Freiburg and Hamburger SV, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-1 Freiburg
Saturday, October 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Hamburger SV

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Elversberg 4-2 Hamburger SV
Saturday, October 26 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 2-1 Hamburger SV

 Though Hamburger were rampant in the first round of the DFB-Pokal, it is difficult to see how they can overcome their higher-tier opponents. However, the hosts have been in mixed form of late, and it would not be surprising if their clash against the 2. Bundesliga side was a close affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.22%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Freiburg in this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawHamburger SV
34.45% (0.67 0.67) 23.63% (0.136 0.14) 41.92% (-0.80399999999999 -0.8)
Both teams to score 62.39% (-0.3 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.52% (-0.476 -0.48)39.48% (0.477 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.18% (-0.497 -0.5)61.82% (0.498 0.5)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.19% (0.145 0.14)22.81% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.48% (0.214 0.21)56.52% (-0.213 -0.21)
Hamburger SV Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.82% (-0.541 -0.54)19.18% (0.542 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.15% (-0.9 -0.9)50.85% (0.902 0.9)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 34.45%
    Hamburger SV 41.92%
    Draw 23.62%
FreiburgDrawHamburger SV
2-1 @ 7.89% (0.107 0.11)
1-0 @ 6.47% (0.17 0.17)
2-0 @ 4.78% (0.146 0.15)
3-1 @ 3.89% (0.069 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.35% (0.081 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.031 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 34.45%
1-1 @ 10.67% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.52% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.37% (0.097 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.77% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.62%
1-2 @ 8.82% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
0-1 @ 7.22% (0.037 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.96% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-3 @ 4.85% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-3 @ 3.59% (-0.075 -0.07)
0-3 @ 3.28% (-0.098 -0.1)
1-4 @ 2% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-4 @ 1.48% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.36% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 41.92%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Hamburger SV

Freiburg
80.4%
Draw
11.8%
Hamburger SV
7.8%
51
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2023 2pm
Club Friendlies
Freiburg
6-2
Hamburger SV
Grifo (7' pen.), Gulde (10'), Kyereh (12', 14'), Woo-yeong (87'), Petersen (107')
Glatzel (4', 32')
Apr 19, 2022 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Hamburger SV
1-3
Freiburg
Glatzel (88')
Meffert (37'), Reis (48'), Kaufmann (75'), Heyer (90+1')
Petersen (11'), Hofler (17'), Grifo (35' pen.)
Gunter (57'), Hofler (63'), Schlotterbeck (72'), Weisshaupt (90+3')
> Preview
Apr 21, 2018 2.30pm
Hamburger SV
1-0
Freiburg
Holtby (54')
Steinmann (43'), Ekdal (82'), Jung (90')

Soyuncu (5'), Kubler (58')
Soyuncu (71')
Dec 1, 2017 7.30pm
Freiburg
0-0
Hamburger SV
Stenzel (33'), Hofler (73')
Diekmeier (57'), Wood (62'), Jung (84')
Feb 18, 2017 5.30pm
Hamburger SV
2-2
Freiburg
Hunt (15'), Gregoritsch (57')
Kostic (62'), Hunt (68'), Djourou (74')
Philipp (23'), Grifo (72')
Philipp (36'), Haberer (56')
rhs 2.0
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