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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 46.54%. A win for Mainz 05 has a probability of 30.36% and a draw has a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.42%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win is 2-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.37%).
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
30.36% ( 0.32) | 23.09% ( 0.09) | 46.54% ( -0.41) |
Both teams to score 62.57% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.5% ( -0.25) | 38.49% ( 0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.21% ( -0.27) | 60.79% ( 0.27) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.29% ( 0.07) | 24.7% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.75% ( 0.1) | 59.24% ( -0.1) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.09% ( -0.25) | 16.9% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.05% ( -0.45) | 46.95% ( 0.45) |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 30.36% | 1-1 @ 10.37% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.08% | 1-2 @ 9.23% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 5.47% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.43% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.23% Total : 46.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 7 | 25 | 23 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 20 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 16 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
6 | Freiburg | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 16 |
7 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Stuttgart | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
11 | Augsburg | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
12 | Heidenheim | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 10 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 |
15 | St Pauli | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 29 | -20 | 1 |
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