Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 21

Feb 5, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Coface Arena

Mainz 05
2 - 0
Hoffenheim

Jae-sung (79'), Niakhate (83' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hubner (17'), Rutter (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Mainz 05 2-2 Hoffenheim

In a derby with local pride at stake, this could prove to be a fiery encounter. Both sides will want to return to winning ways but may well cancel each other out in what should be an entertaining game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Hoffenheim
46.18%	24.21%	29.61%

Both teams to score 58.1%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.83%

44.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.45%

66.55%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.73%

19.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.99%

51.01%

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.97%

28.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.32%

63.68%

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 46.18%

Hoffenheim 29.61%

Draw 24.21%

Mainz 05	Draw	Hoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.31% 1-0 @ 8.89% 2-0 @ 7.32% 3-1 @ 5.11% 3-0 @ 4.02% 3-2 @ 3.25% 4-1 @ 2.1% 4-0 @ 1.65% 4-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.18% Total : 46.18%	1-1 @ 11.31% 2-2 @ 5.92% 0-0 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.21%	1-2 @ 7.2% 0-1 @ 6.87% 0-2 @ 4.37% 1-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 2.51% 0-3 @ 1.85% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.78% Total : 29.61%