Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 64.82%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 13.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.14%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.