Europa League

Europa League | Qualifying Playoffs | 1st Leg

Feb 17, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Sheriff

Sheriff Tiraspol
2 - 0
Braga

(agg: -)

Thill (43' pen.), Traore (82')
Petro (15')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Sheriff Tiraspol and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Sheriff Tiraspol 1-1 Braga

Sheriff shown enough during their Champions League fixtures that they will not be overawed by a game of this magnitude. Nevertheless, Braga are always dark horses at this level, and we feel that the Portuguese outfit will do enough to earn a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheriff Tiraspol win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for Braga had a probability of 37.66% and a draw had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheriff Tiraspol win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-2 (5.31%) and 3-1 (5.13%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sheriff Tiraspol would win this match.

Result
Sheriff Tiraspol	Draw	Braga
42.38%	19.96%	37.66%

Both teams to score 77.64%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

79.81%

20.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

61.64%

38.36%

Sheriff Tiraspol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.86%

11.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.43%

35.57%

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.37%

12.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.24%

38.76%

Score Analysis

Sheriff Tiraspol 42.38%

Braga 37.66%

Draw 19.96%

Sheriff Tiraspol	Draw	Braga
2-1 @ 7.01% 3-2 @ 5.31% 3-1 @ 5.13% 2-0 @ 3.39% 1-0 @ 3.09% 4-2 @ 2.91% 4-1 @ 2.82% 3-0 @ 2.48% 4-3 @ 2.01% 4-0 @ 1.36% 5-2 @ 1.28% 5-1 @ 1.24% Other @ 4.37% Total : 42.38%	2-2 @ 7.25% 1-1 @ 6.39% 3-3 @ 3.66% 0-0 @ 1.41% 4-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.22% Total : 19.96%	1-2 @ 6.61% 2-3 @ 5% 1-3 @ 4.56% 0-2 @ 3.01% 0-1 @ 2.91% 2-4 @ 2.59% 1-4 @ 2.36% 0-3 @ 2.08% 3-4 @ 1.89% 0-4 @ 1.07% 2-5 @ 1.07% 1-5 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.54% Total : 37.66%