Europa League

Europa League | Qualifying Playoffs | 2nd Leg

Feb 24, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estadio Municipal

Braga
2 - 0
Sheriff Tiraspol

(agg: -)

Medeiros (17'), Horta (43')
Oliveira (69'), Moura (85')

FT
(aet)

Traore (21'), Petro (66'), Nikolov (85'), Thill (88'), Yakhshibaev (90+4'), Dulanto (114')

Braga win 3-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Braga and Sheriff Tiraspol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We say: Braga 2-1 Sheriff Tiraspol (Sheriff Tiraspol to win 3-2 on aggregate)

With home advantage in their favour, it feels reasonable to back Braga to edge this contest. However, with 90 minutes now in their legs, we are backing Sheriff to net the goal that may put this tie beyond the reach of their higher-profile opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 47.95%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Sheriff Tiraspol had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Sheriff Tiraspol win it was 0-1 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Braga	Draw	Sheriff Tiraspol
47.95%	26.85%	25.2%

Both teams to score 46.65%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.44%

57.57%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.66%

78.35%

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.94%

24.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.66%

58.34%

Sheriff Tiraspol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.44%

38.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.69%

75.31%

Score Analysis

Braga 47.95%

Sheriff Tiraspol 25.2%

Draw 26.85%

Braga	Draw	Sheriff Tiraspol
1-0 @ 13.22% 2-0 @ 9.42% 2-1 @ 8.97% 3-0 @ 4.47% 3-1 @ 4.26% 3-2 @ 2.03% 4-0 @ 1.59% 4-1 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.48% Total : 47.95%	1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 9.28% 2-2 @ 4.27% Other @ 0.7% Total : 26.85%	0-1 @ 8.84% 1-2 @ 6% 0-2 @ 4.21% 1-3 @ 1.91% 2-3 @ 1.36% 0-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.54% Total : 25.2%