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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
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Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
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Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
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Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Sporting Lisbon
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Benfica

Sporting Lisbon
2 - 1
Benfica

Catamo (1', 90+1')
Catamo (4'), Santos (5'), Hjulmand (27'), Paulinho (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bah (45+3')
Otamendi (27'), Neres (39'), Bah (45+1'), Tengstedt (74'), Aursnes (86'), Silva (90+9')
Aursnes (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 2-2 Sporting Lisbon
Tuesday, April 2 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Benfica

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 2-2 Sporting Lisbon
Tuesday, April 2 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Benfica

 We expect this match to be a very tight affair like the previous three meetings this season. However, Sporting have been flawless at home so far and have not lost in their last two home matches against Benfica. A slender victory for the home side looks likely. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 58.12%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 22.52% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.07%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Benfica win was 1-2 (5.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawBenfica
58.12% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 19.35% (0.0019999999999989 0) 22.52% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 68.83% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.85% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)27.15% (0.02 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.32% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)47.67% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.5% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)9.49% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)31.84% (0.004999999999999 0)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.05% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)23.94% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.82% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)58.17% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 58.12%
    Benfica 22.52%
    Draw 19.35%
Sporting LisbonDrawBenfica
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 7.07% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 6.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 5.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 4.95% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-1 @ 4.16%
4-2 @ 2.98% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.91% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.96%
4-3 @ 1.42% (-0.002 -0)
5-2 @ 1.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 58.12%
1-1 @ 7.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 6.44% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 2.41% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-0 @ 2.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 19.35%
1-2 @ 5.47%
0-1 @ 3.25% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 3.07% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-2 @ 2.32%
0-3 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 22.52%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica

Sporting Lisbon
77.2%
Draw
14.0%
Benfica
8.8%
57
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2024 8.45pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Benfica
2-2
Sporting Lisbon
Otamendi (52'), Silva (64')
di Maria (45+3'), Schmidt (90+7')
Hjulmand (47'), Paulinho (55')
Inacio (49'), Morita (72'), Israel (77'), Edwards (90+2')
> Preview
Feb 29, 2024 8.45pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Sporting Lisbon
2-1
Benfica
Goncalves (9'), Gyokeres (54')
Hjulmand (33'), Paulinho (41')
Aursnes (68')
Schmidt (0'), Otamendi (31'), di Maria (74'), Kokcu (75'), Silva (78')
> Preview
Nov 12, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 11
Benfica
2-1
Sporting Lisbon
Neves (90+4'), Tengstedt (90+7')
Mario (66'), Neves (75')
Gyokeres (45')
Coates (15'), Inacio (22'), Edwards (57'), Hjulmand (69'), Neto (90+11')
Inacio (51')
> Preview
May 21, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 33
Sporting Lisbon
2-2
Benfica
Trincao (39'), Diomande (44')
Diomande (48'), Coates (88')
Aursnes (71'), Neves (90+4')
Silva (40'), Chiquinho (80')
> Preview
Jan 15, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 16
Benfica
2-2
Sporting Lisbon
Ramos (37', 64')
Bah (27'), Goncalves (53' pen.)
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Porto1411123392434
3Benfica1310213282432
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8FamalicaoFamalicao144731715219
9Casa Pia144551317-417
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13Nacional13337817-912
14AVS142661122-1112
15Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
16BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
17AroucaArouca14329823-1511
18SC FarenseFarense14239720-139
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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