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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 64.52%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 17.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.13%) and 3-1 (7.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Holstein Kiel win it was 1-2 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
64.52% ( -2.44) | 18.37% ( 0.87) | 17.11% ( 1.57) |
Both teams to score 62.64% ( 0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.1% ( -1.17) | 30.91% ( 1.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.73% ( -1.4) | 52.27% ( 1.4) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.89% ( -0.84) | 9.11% ( 0.85) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.07% ( -2.07) | 30.93% ( 2.07) |
Holstein Kiel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.92% ( 1) | 31.08% ( -1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.6% ( 1.15) | 67.4% ( -1.15) |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.2) 1-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.36) 4-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.31) 3-2 @ 4.43% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.38) 4-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.24) 5-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.27) 5-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.1) 4-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.18% Total : 64.52% | 1-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.34% Total : 18.37% | 1-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.36) 0-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.3) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.19) Other @ 3.27% Total : 17.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 7 | 26 | 26 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 21 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 20 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Freiburg | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 17 |
6 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 16 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 15 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 14 |
10 | Mainz 05Mainz | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Stuttgart | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 13 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 12 |
13 | Augsburg | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
14 | Heidenheim | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 9 |
16 | St Pauli | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 30 | -20 | 2 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |