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Bundesliga | Gameweek 6
Oct 5, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena

B. Leverkusen
2 - 2
Holstein Kiel

Boniface (4'), Hofmann (8')
Frimpong (68'), Tah (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Geschwill (45+5'), Arp (69' pen.)
Knudsen (60'), Weiner (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Holstein Kiel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 1-0 AC Milan
Tuesday, October 1 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 2-4 Frankfurt
Sunday, September 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 4-1 Holstein Kiel

Considering Holstein Kiel's poor form this season and their defensive frailty, it is difficult to see how they avoid defeat. Bayer Leverkusen also boast an exceptional home record, and it would not be surprising if they managed to score multiple goals on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 64.52%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 17.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.13%) and 3-1 (7.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Holstein Kiel win it was 1-2 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawHolstein Kiel
64.52% (-2.438 -2.44) 18.37% (0.869 0.87) 17.11% (1.571 1.57)
Both teams to score 62.64% (0.336 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.1% (-1.167 -1.17)30.91% (1.169 1.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.73% (-1.399 -1.4)52.27% (1.401 1.4)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.89% (-0.845 -0.84)9.11% (0.846 0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.07% (-2.067 -2.07)30.93% (2.069 2.07)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.92% (1 1)31.08% (-0.999 -1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.6% (1.152 1.15)67.4% (-1.15 -1.15)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 64.52%
    Holstein Kiel 17.11%
    Draw 18.37%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawHolstein Kiel
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.127 0.13)
2-0 @ 8.13% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-1 @ 7.58% (-0.203 -0.2)
1-0 @ 6.78% (0.174 0.17)
3-0 @ 6.49% (-0.359 -0.36)
4-1 @ 4.54% (-0.311 -0.31)
3-2 @ 4.43% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 3.89% (-0.382 -0.38)
4-2 @ 2.66% (-0.105 -0.11)
5-1 @ 2.18% (-0.244 -0.24)
5-0 @ 1.86% (-0.266 -0.27)
5-2 @ 1.27% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-3 @ 1.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 64.52%
1-1 @ 7.93% (0.413 0.41)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.223 0.22)
0-0 @ 2.83% (0.18 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.73% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 18.37%
1-2 @ 4.63% (0.36 0.36)
0-1 @ 3.31% (0.295 0.3)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.143 0.14)
0-2 @ 1.93% (0.22 0.22)
1-3 @ 1.8% (0.185 0.19)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 17.11%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Holstein Kiel

Bayer Leverkusen
86.3%
Draw
10.0%
Holstein Kiel
3.8%
80
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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