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VfL Bochum
Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Sep 21, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Vonovia Ruhrstadion

VfL Bochum
2 - 2
Holstein Kiel

Bero (15'), Daschner (22')
Bero (39'), de Wit (48'), Passlack (78'), Hofmann (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Machino (89', 35')
Knudsen (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between VfL Bochum and Holstein Kiel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Freiburg 2-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, September 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 1-6 Bayern
Saturday, September 14 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: VfL Bochum 2-1 Holstein Kiel

While Bochum will fancy themselves against wet-behind-the-ears opposition in Kiel, the new boys hope their expertise on the road under Rapp stands them in good stead in North Rhine-Westphalia. Even though Saturday's outcome could be a score draw, we back the hosts to eke out a marginal victory against the promoted side to register their first points of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 43.84%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.35%) and 2-0 (5.7%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
VfL BochumDrawHolstein Kiel
43.84% (1.864 1.86) 22.69% (-0.484 -0.48) 33.47% (-1.388 -1.39)
Both teams to score 65.62% (1.403 1.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.88% (2.012 2.01)35.12% (-2.02 -2.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.87% (2.208 2.21)57.12% (-2.217 -2.22)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.38% (1.563 1.56)16.62% (-1.571 -1.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.55% (2.741 2.74)46.44% (-2.749 -2.75)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.7% (0.205 0.2)21.3% (-0.213 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.76% (0.32100000000001 0.32)54.23% (-0.329 -0.33)
Score Analysis
    VfL Bochum 43.84%
    Holstein Kiel 33.47%
    Draw 22.69%
VfL BochumDrawHolstein Kiel
2-1 @ 8.82% (0.083 0.08)
1-0 @ 6.35% (-0.317 -0.32)
2-0 @ 5.7% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.27% (0.312 0.31)
3-2 @ 4.08% (0.266 0.27)
3-0 @ 3.41% (0.182 0.18)
4-1 @ 2.37% (0.252 0.25)
4-2 @ 1.83% (0.206 0.21)
4-0 @ 1.53% (0.154 0.15)
4-3 @ 0.94% (0.111 0.11)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 43.84%
1-1 @ 9.82% (-0.417 -0.42)
2-2 @ 6.82% (0.108 0.11)
0-0 @ 3.54% (-0.373 -0.37)
3-3 @ 2.1% (0.15 0.15)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.69%
1-2 @ 7.6% (-0.277 -0.28)
0-1 @ 5.47% (-0.538 -0.54)
0-2 @ 4.23% (-0.386 -0.39)
1-3 @ 3.92% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-3 @ 3.52% (0.078 0.08)
0-3 @ 2.18% (-0.184 -0.18)
1-4 @ 1.51% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.36% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 33.47%

How you voted: VfL Bochum vs Holstein Kiel

VfL Bochum
88.6%
Draw
9.1%
Holstein Kiel
2.3%
44
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 27
VfL Bochum
2-1
Holstein Kiel
Zoller (5', 60')
Tesche (21'), Pantovic (62'), Zulj (90+1')
Muhling (81' pen.)
Wahl (60')
Dec 4, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 10
Holstein Kiel
3-1
VfL Bochum
Muhling (31' pen.), Bartels (64'), Jae-sung (65')
Zoller (33')
Losilla (90+2')
May 27, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 28
VfL Bochum
2-1
Holstein Kiel
Osei-Tutu (49'), Ganvoula (63')
Gamboa (26'), Osei-Tutu (88'), Soares (90+3')
Meffert (74')
Young-Jae (48')
Oct 25, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 11
Holstein Kiel
2-1
VfL Bochum
Jae-sung (9'), Serra (52')
Baku (34'), Eberwein (38'), Meffert (45'), Muhling (67')
Ganvoula (38' pen.)
Ganvoula (49'), Eisfeld (65'), Wintzheimer (80'), Riemann (83'), Soares (92')
Feb 23, 2019 12pm
Gameweek 23
VfL Bochum
1-3
Holstein Kiel
Zoller (77')
Muhling (30'), Serra (32' pen.), Okugawa (41')
Meffert (14'), Okugawa (37'), Karazor (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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