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Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Aug 24, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
VfL Bochum

RB Leipzig
1 - 0
VfL Bochum

Nusa (59')
Simons (35')
Orban (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bero (15'), Wittek (23'), Sissoko (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: RWE 1-4 RB Leipzig
Saturday, August 17 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal

VfL Bochum

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Jahn 1-0 VfL Bochum
Sunday, August 18 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: RB Leipzig 3-1 VfL Bochum

 Given the hosts' consistency in the league over recent years, as well as their excellent record at home, they come into Saturday's game as strong favourites. Additionally, Bochum's loss in the DFB-Pokal against a 2. Bundesliga side was concerning, and if they perform similarly this weekend then it is difficult to see how they can avoid defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 55.68%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 22.77% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.06%) and 1-0 (8.05%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawVfL Bochum
55.68% (0.651 0.65) 21.56% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02) 22.77% (-0.629 -0.63)
Both teams to score 60.74% (-0.762 -0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.28% (-0.631 -0.63)37.72% (0.629 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.04% (-0.67899999999999 -0.68)59.96% (0.678 0.68)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.49% (-0.012 -0.01)13.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.44% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)40.56% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.23% (-0.873 -0.87)29.77% (0.871 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.16% (-1.07 -1.07)65.84% (1.068 1.07)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 55.68%
    VfL Bochum 22.77%
    Draw 21.56%
RB LeipzigDrawVfL Bochum
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.052999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.06% (0.235 0.24)
1-0 @ 8.05% (0.239 0.24)
3-1 @ 6.51% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.38% (0.155 0.16)
3-2 @ 3.95% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-1 @ 3.26% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.69% (0.077 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.98% (-0.039 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.31% (0.006 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.08% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 55.68%
1-1 @ 9.76% (0.057 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-0 @ 4.02% (0.121 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.59% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 21.56%
1-2 @ 5.91% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-1 @ 4.88% (0.031 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.95% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.39% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 22.77%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs VfL Bochum

RB Leipzig
92.2%
Draw
6.9%
VfL Bochum
1.0%
102
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 24
VfL Bochum
1-4
RB Leipzig
Wittek (7')
Broschinski (38'), Loosli (66'), Ordets (77')
Kwarteng (86')
Olmo (30'), Openda (68'), Ordets (71' og.), Poulsen (72')
Haidara (45+3'), Simakan (81')
> Preview
Oct 7, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
RB Leipzig
0-0
VfL Bochum
Baumgartner (47'), Simons (69')
Osterhage (42'), Ordets (55'), Stoger (60'), Schlotterbeck (87')
> Preview
Mar 18, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 25
VfL Bochum
1-0
RB Leipzig
Masovic (48')
> Preview
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
RB Leipzig
4-0
VfL Bochum
Werner (15', 53'), Nkunku (23' pen., 85')
> Preview
Feb 27, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 24
VfL Bochum
0-1
RB Leipzig

Gamboa (87')
Nkunku (82')
Simakan (70')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243
> Bundesliga Full Table


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