Spezia

3 - 1

VfL Bochum

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia would win this match.