Serie B | Gameweek 38

May 10, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Stadio Alberto Picco

Spezia
2 - 1
Venezia

Pio Esposito (57'), Reca (61')
Bandinelli (49'), Di Serio (50'), Falcinelli (66'), Egill Ellertsson (86'), Vignali (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Idzes (17')
Vanoli (0'), Vignali (90+2')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Spezia and Venezia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions

Last Game: Cosenza 2-2 Spezia
Sunday, May 5 at 2pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Venezia

All competitions

Last Game: Venezia 2-1 FeralpiSalo
Sunday, May 5 at 2pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 37.49%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Venezia
35.4% ( -0.03)	27.11% ( -0.01)	37.49% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 50.54% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.17% (

0.03)

54.82% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.87% (

0.03)

76.12% (

-0.03)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.46% (

-0)

29.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.44%

65.56% (

-0)

Venezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.72% (

0.03)

28.27% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.01% (

0.05)

63.98% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Spezia 35.39%

Venezia 37.49%

Draw 27.1%

Spezia	Draw	Venezia
1-0 @ 10.18% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.84% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.19% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.52% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.46% Total : 35.39%	1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.1%	0-1 @ 10.55% 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.66% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.81% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 37.49%