Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salisbury win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for St Albans City had a probability of 37.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salisbury win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.5%) and 0-2 (5.64%). The likeliest St Albans City win was 2-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salisbury would win this match.