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National League South | Gameweek 6
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Longmead Stadium

Tonbridge Angels
1 - 0
Salisbury

Shields (12')
Vincent (39'), Hanson (45+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

McCreadie (58'), Perez (71')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Salisbury.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salisbury 2-1 Boreham Wood
Monday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Salisbury had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Salisbury win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tonbridge Angels in this match.

Result
Tonbridge AngelsDrawSalisbury
40.89% (-0.067 -0.07) 25.52% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 33.6% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Both teams to score 55.44% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.57% (0.044000000000004 0.04)48.43% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.44% (0.039999999999999 0.04)70.56% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.51% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)23.49% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.49% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)57.51% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Salisbury Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.46% (0.067999999999998 0.07)27.54% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.95% (0.087000000000003 0.09)63.05% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Tonbridge Angels 40.89%
    Salisbury 33.6%
    Draw 25.51%
Tonbridge AngelsDrawSalisbury
1-0 @ 9.37% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.79% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.23% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 40.89%
1-1 @ 12.08%
0-0 @ 6.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.51%
0-1 @ 8.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 7.79% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.38% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.35% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.43% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.31% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.08% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 33.6%

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