NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 11
Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Showgrounds
Ballymena4 - 1Loughgall
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Loughgall.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Portadown 0-1 Ballymena
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Goals
for
for
15
Last Game: Loughgall 0-4 Crusaders
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 54.26%. A win for Loughgall had a probability of 23.66% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Loughgall win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ballymena United | Draw | Loughgall |
54.26% ( -0.15) | 22.08% ( -0.07) | 23.66% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 60.03% ( 0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.84% ( 0.59) | 39.16% ( -0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.51% ( 0.61) | 61.49% ( -0.61) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.55% ( 0.15) | 14.45% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.6% ( 0.29) | 42.4% ( -0.29) |
| Loughgall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.17% ( 0.51) | 29.83% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.09% ( 0.61) | 65.91% ( -0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
Ballymena United 54.26%
Loughgall 23.66%
Draw 22.07%
| Ballymena United | Draw | Loughgall |
| 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 3.26% Total : 54.26% | 1-1 @ 10.08% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.07% | 1-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.21% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.15% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.08% Total : 23.66% |
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 1
Loughgall
2-3
Ballymena
Strain (54'), Ferris (62')
Kelly (68'), Turker (71'), Hoey (90+5'), Rea (90+6')
Kelly (68'), Turker (71'), Hoey (90+5'), Rea (90+6')
Taylor (3'), Gawne (4'), McCullough (72' pen.)
Gawne (30')
Gawne (30')
Jan 27, 2024 3pm
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Loughgall
5-2
Ballymena
Magee (26', 31'), B. (29+29'), Carroll (46'), Patton (71')
Hoey (53'), Boyd (68'), Kelly (90+1')
Hoey (53'), Boyd (68'), Kelly (90+1')
Waide (15', 54')
Nelson (22'), Boyle (90+1')
Nelson (22'), Boyle (90+1')
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Form Guide
