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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 11
Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Showgrounds

Ballymena
4 - 1
Loughgall

Kennedy (25' pen.), Nelson (27'), Scott (33'), Moore (58')
Moore (79'), Herron (89'), Lafferty (89')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Boyd (31')
McCloskey (30'), Balde (65'), Francis (70'), Kelly (79'), McAleer (87'), Boyd (89')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Loughgall.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ballymena United

All competitions
Last Game: Portadown 0-1 Ballymena
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Loughgall

All competitions
Last Game: Loughgall 0-4 Crusaders
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 54.26%. A win for Loughgall had a probability of 23.66% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Loughgall win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawLoughgall
54.26% (-0.154 -0.15) 22.08% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07) 23.66% (0.224 0.22)
Both teams to score 60.03% (0.542 0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.84% (0.586 0.59)39.16% (-0.587 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.51% (0.61 0.61)61.49% (-0.61 -0.61)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.55% (0.151 0.15)14.45% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.6% (0.29199999999999 0.29)42.4% (-0.292 -0.29)
Loughgall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.17% (0.509 0.51)29.83% (-0.51 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.09% (0.611 0.61)65.91% (-0.613 -0.61)
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 54.26%
    Loughgall 23.66%
    Draw 22.07%
Ballymena UnitedDrawLoughgall
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.34% (-0.185 -0.19)
2-0 @ 8.06% (-0.135 -0.14)
3-1 @ 6.29% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.2% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.81% (0.065 0.07)
4-1 @ 3.04% (0.025 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.52% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.84% (0.041 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.18% (0.016 0.02)
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 54.26%
1-1 @ 10.08% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.9% (0.068 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.31% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.07%
1-2 @ 6.1% (0.039 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.21% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.46% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.38% (0.061 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 23.66%

Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 1
Loughgall
2-3
Ballymena
Strain (54'), Ferris (62')
Kelly (68'), Turker (71'), Hoey (90+5'), Rea (90+6')
Taylor (3'), Gawne (4'), McCullough (72' pen.)
Gawne (30')
Jan 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 27
Ballymena
0-1
Loughgall

Robinson (38'), McMurray (53'), Strain (90+4')
Ferris (62')
Gibson (81')
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Loughgall
5-2
Ballymena
Magee (26', 31'), B. (29+29'), Carroll (46'), Patton (71')
Hoey (53'), Boyd (68'), Kelly (90+1')
Waide (15', 54')
Nelson (22'), Boyle (90+1')
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Ballymena
1-3
Loughgall
Coates (37')
Nelson (10'), Coates (32'), Burns (51')
Ferris (54', 58'), Hoey (66')
Brogan (36'), Murdock (44')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield29214454213367
2GlentoranGlentoran26145733221147
3Dungannon SwiftsDungannon28134114033743
4CrusadersCrusaders29134123840-243
5PortadownPortadown28126103732542
6LarneLarne2411672720739
7CliftonvilleCliftonville28116113732539
8ColeraineColeraine2798104038235
9GlenavonGlenavon2697102934-534
10Ballymena UnitedBallymena26103133136-533
11Carrick RangersCarrick2857162344-2122
12Loughgall2734202562-3713
> NIFL Premiership Full Table


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