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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 15
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Lakeview Park

Loughgall
5 - 2
Ballymena

Magee (26', 31'), B. (29+29'), Carroll (46'), Patton (71')
Hoey (53'), Boyd (68'), Kelly (90+1')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Waide (15', 54')
Nelson (22'), Boyle (90+1')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Loughgall and Ballymena United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Linfield 5-1 Loughgall
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 1-1 Dungannon
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Loughgall win with a probability of 47.91%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 27.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Loughgall win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 0-1 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Loughgall would win this match.

Result
LoughgallDrawBallymena United
47.91% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 24.26% (0.0030000000000001 0) 27.82% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 56.67% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.51% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)45.49% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)67.82% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Loughgall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.91% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)19.08% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.3% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)50.69% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.04% (0.010000000000005 0.01)29.96% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.93% (0.012 0.01)66.07% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Loughgall 47.91%
    Ballymena United 27.82%
    Draw 24.26%
LoughgallDrawBallymena United
1-0 @ 9.47% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 7.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.22% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 4.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.16% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 1.79% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.3%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 47.91%
1-1 @ 11.41%
0-0 @ 5.72% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.26%
0-1 @ 6.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 6.88% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-2 @ 4.15% (0.0029999999999992 0)
1-3 @ 2.76% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 1.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 27.82%

Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Ballymena
1-3
Loughgall
Coates (37')
Nelson (10'), Coates (32'), Burns (51')
Ferris (54', 58'), Hoey (66')
Brogan (36'), Murdock (44')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield17112433151835
2CliftonvilleCliftonville1793526161030
3Dungannon SwiftsDungannon189272421329
4PortadownPortadown178452417728
5GlentoranGlentoran188371916327
6Ballymena UnitedBallymena179082120127
7ColeraineColeraine177462822625
8CrusadersCrusaders157261817123
9LarneLarne136341511421
10Carrick RangersCarrick1743101829-1115
11GlenavonGlenavon183691125-1415
12Loughgall1832131846-2811


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