MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 16:40:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 13
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Lakeview Park

Loughgall
3 - 1
Newry City AFC

Magee (48', 65', 90+2')
Kelly (76'), Boyd (83'), Loughran (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Salley (52')
Forde (31'), Salley (36'), Maguire (72'), Poynton (76'), McKeown (83'), Poynton (83')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Loughgall and Newry City AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Glentoran 6-0 Loughgall
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Newry City AFC 0-2 Coleraine
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Loughgall win with a probability of 53.81%. A win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 24.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Loughgall win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Newry City AFC win was 1-2 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Loughgall would win this match.

Result
LoughgallDrawNewry City AFC
53.81% (0.37 0.37) 21.81% (-0.101 -0.1) 24.39% (-0.268 -0.27)
Both teams to score 61.9% (0.055000000000007 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.91% (0.209 0.21)37.09% (-0.208 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.71% (0.22600000000001 0.23)59.29% (-0.225 -0.23)
Loughgall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.12% (0.188 0.19)13.88% (-0.188 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.71% (0.372 0.37)41.29% (-0.372 -0.37)
Newry City AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.89% (-0.092999999999989 -0.09)28.12% (0.093999999999998 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.21% (-0.119 -0.12)63.79% (0.122 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Loughgall 53.81%
    Newry City AFC 24.39%
    Draw 21.81%
LoughgallDrawNewry City AFC
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.71% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.61% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.35% (0.049 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.01% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 4.03% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.14% (0.046 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.47% (0.042 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.99% (0.024 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.24% (0.027 0.03)
5-0 @ 0.98% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 53.81%
1-1 @ 9.78% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.9% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.71% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 21.81%
1-2 @ 6.2% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-1 @ 4.95% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.14% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.62% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 24.39%

Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Newry City AFC
0-3
Loughgall

King (2'), Lockhart (15')
Lockhart (90+2')
Loughran (10', 26'), Ferris (23' pen.)
Ferris (17'), Loughran (60'), Hoey (62'), Murdock (66')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield96211951420
2Ballymena UnitedBallymena106041512318
3Dungannon SwiftsDungannon10523138517
4LarneLarne742193614
5CliftonvilleCliftonville94231310314
6GlentoranGlentoran1042488014
7CrusadersCrusaders841397213
8ColeraineColeraine93421312113
9PortadownPortadown93331311212
10GlenavonGlenavon10244813-510
11Loughgall10127926-175
12Carrick RangersCarrick9108721-143


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