Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 62.65%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for SSV Ulm had a probability of 17.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 1-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a SSV Ulm win it was 1-2 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.
-0.59) 
0.09) 
