Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Osasuna in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Osasuna.
Result | ||
Osasuna | Draw | Real Valladolid |
39.38% ( -0.07) | 25.21% ( -0.02) | 35.41% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 56.86% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.25% ( 0.08) | 46.76% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.98% ( 0.08) | 69.02% ( -0.07) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.49% ( 0) | 23.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.46% ( 0) | 57.55% |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.34% ( 0.09) | 25.66% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.44% ( 0.12) | 60.56% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Osasuna | Draw | Real Valladolid |
1-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.15% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 39.38% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 35.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Mallorca | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 18 |
10 | GironaGirona | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | AlavesAlaves | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 12 |
17 | Getafe | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
18 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 9 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |