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[monks data]
Real Valladolid logo
La Liga | Gameweek 13
Dec 11, 2020 at 8pm UK
Jose Zorrilla
Osauna logo

Real Valladolid
3 - 2
Osasuna

Weissman (7', 76'), Orellana (56' pen.)
Mesa (24'), Alcaraz (45'), Weissman (84'), Perez (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Budimir (27'), Torres (43')
Hernandez (12'), Moncayola (66'), Vidal (71'), Budimir (80'), Calleri (82')

Preview: Real Valladolid vs. Osasuna - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Real Valladolid and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Two teams in desperate need of the points after difficult starts to the season will lock horns at Estadio Municipal Jose Zorrilla on Friday night, with Real Valladolid welcoming Osasuna.

Valladolid are currently 19th in La Liga, having picked up just 10 points from their 12 matches this term, while Osasuna are just one point and one position above their opponents in the table.


Match preview

Real Valladolid manager Sergio Gonzalez pictured on January 2020© Reuters

Valladolid picked up two huge results either side of the November international break, recording a 2-1 win over Athletic Bilbao before overcoming Granada two weeks later; a point at home to Levante followed, but the strugglers suffered a 2-0 defeat at Atletico Madrid last weekend.

Despite a relatively strong recent run of results, Sergio Gonzalez's side are inside the relegation zone, having won two, drawn four and lost six of their 12 matches this term to collect 10 points.

Valladolid are actually only three points behind 13th-placed Valencia, though, and it is incredibly tight in the bottom half of the division, with even basement side Huesca just three points from the safety of 17th.

The White and Violets, who have former Brazil striker Ronaldo as a majority shareholder, finished 13th last season and would have been looking to build on that impressive position this term.

The early indications are that it could be a tough campaign for the club, though, and recent history favours Osasuna in this fixture, with Valladolid without a victory over their opponents on Friday since November 2012.

Osasuna head coach Jagoba Arrasate pictured in December 2019© Reuters

Osasuna were excellent on their return to La Liga last season, ultimately claiming 10th spot, just four points off the Europa League positions as they picked up 52 points from 38 matches.

Los Rojillos have struggled for consistency in the early stages of 2020-21, though, and currently sit 18th in the table, having collected 11 points from their 11 matches thus far.

Jagoba Arrasate's side are actually without a win in Spain's top flight since overcoming Athletic Bilbao on October 24, losing four of their last five matches during a worrying run.

Atletico, Sevilla, Barcelona and Real Betis have all beaten Osasuna since the end of October, while the club were held to a 1-1 draw by basement side Huesca on November 20.

Each of the last three La Liga meetings between Osasuna and Valladolid have finished level, including a 1-1 draw in the corresponding match during the 2019-20 campaign.

Real Valladolid La Liga form: LLWWDL

Osasuna La Liga form: WLLDLL


Team News

Real Madrid's Luka Jovic in action with Osasuna's Ruben Garcia in La Liga on September 25, 2019© Reuters

Valladolid are missing some key players at the moment, with Fabian Orellana and Sergi Guardiola both on the sidelines through injury, while Joaquin Fernandez and Kiko Olivas are also absent.

Sergio is expected to keep faith with the majority of the side that started against Atletico last weekend, although there could be a change in the final third with Shon Weissman potentially replacing Maranhao.

Toni Suarez and Saidy Janko are both options for change, but Roque Mesa and Jota should keep their spots in the side, while Oscar Plano is expected to feature in midfield.

As for Osasuna, Adrian Lopez, Lucas Torro and Chimy Avila remain on the sidelines through injury, but Jony has a chance of recovering from the problem that saw him miss out against Betis.

Arrasate is expected to shuffle his pack from the side that started last weekend, with Oier and Jonathan Calleri potentially replacing Enric Gallego and Darko Brasanac in the starting XI.

Nacho Vidal and Kike Barja came off the bench against Betis, meanwhile, and are options for change, but Ante Budimir and Ruben Garcia are likely to retain their positions in the final third of the field.

Real Valladolid possible starting lineup:
Masip; Hervias, Bruno, Sanchez, Nacho; Jota, Alcaraz, Mesa, Plano; Weissman, Maranhao

Osasuna possible starting lineup:
Herrera; Roncaglia, Aridane, D Garcia, Perez; Torres, Oier, Moncayola, R Garcia; Budimir, Calleri


SM words green background

We say: Real Valladolid 1-1 Osasuna

There is not an awful lot between these two teams in terms of quality, and as mentioned, the pair have played out three successive draws. Valladolid are arguably the favourites due to their recent run of form and the fact that they have home advantage, but we fancy Osasuna to pick up a share of the spoils.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or draw in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Draw:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.9%) and 1-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (11.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Real Valladolid vs Osasuna

Real Valladolid
47.5%
Draw
41.4%
Osasuna
11.1%
162
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona12110140112933
2Real Madrid1173121111024
3Atletico MadridAtletico126511871123
4Villarreal116322019121
5Osasuna126331716121
6Athletic Bilbao125431812619
7Real BetisBetis125431210219
8Mallorca12534109118
9Rayo Vallecano114431210216
10Celta Vigo125161820-216
11Real Sociedad124351010015
12GironaGirona124351517-215
13Sevilla124351217-515
14AlavesAlaves124171419-513
15Leganes122551216-411
16Getafe12174810-210
17Espanyol123181122-1110
18Las PalmasLas Palmas122371321-89
19Real ValladolidValladolid12228924-158
20Valencia11146817-97


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