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La Liga | Gameweek 15
Nov 30, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal Jose Zorrilla
Atletico Madrid logo

Valladolid
0 - 5
Atletico


Perez (32')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Lenglet (26'), Alvarez (35'), De Paul (37'), Griezmann (52'), Sorloth (90+2')
Galan (41'), Simeone (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Valladolid and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Getafe 2-0 Valladolid
Friday, November 22 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sparta Prague 0-6 Atletico
Tuesday, November 26 at 5.45pm in Champions League

We said: Real Valladolid 0-2 Atletico Madrid

Atletico have only won three of their seven away La Liga matches this season, but Real Valladolid have been victorious in just one of their seven games on home soil, and we are struggling to see anything other than a comfortable away success in this clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 53.4%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 21.09%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.66%) and 1-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-0 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real ValladolidDrawAtletico Madrid
21.09% (-0.117 -0.12) 25.5% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 53.4% (0.156 0.16)
Both teams to score 45.97% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.82% (0.041000000000004 0.04)56.17% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.77% (0.033000000000001 0.03)77.23% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.25% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)41.75% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.78% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)78.21% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.92% (0.079999999999998 0.08)21.07% (-0.087 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.11% (0.128 0.13)53.89% (-0.131 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Real Valladolid 21.09%
    Atletico Madrid 53.38%
    Draw 25.5%
Real ValladolidDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 7.69% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-1 @ 5.23% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.36% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.52% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 0.98% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 1.14%
Total : 21.09%
1-1 @ 11.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.8% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.07% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 13.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 10.66% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.32% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.54% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.84% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.16% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.11% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.88% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 53.38%

How you voted: Valladolid vs Atletico

Real Valladolid
11.1%
Draw
8.3%
Atletico Madrid
80.6%
108
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 32
Valladolid
2-5
Atletico
Larin (42' pen.), Escudero (74')
Molina (20'), Gimenez (24'), Morata (38'), Fernandez (86' og.), Depay (90+3')
Jan 21, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 18
Atletico
3-0
Valladolid
Morata (18'), Griezmann (23'), Hermoso (28')
May 22, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 38
Valladolid
1-2
Atletico
Plano (18')
Maranhao (55'), El Yamiq (70'), Michel (74'), Fede (78')
Correa (57'), Suarez (67')
Felix (78'), Felipe (83'), Lodi (87')
Dec 5, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 12
Atletico
2-0
Valladolid
Lemar (56'), Llorente (72')
Savic (24'), Vitolo (40'), Suarez (49'), Herrera (85')

Sanchez Moreno (51'), Mesa (81')
Jun 20, 2020 9pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona18122450203038
2Atletico MadridAtletico17115131112038
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao1896327161133
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal167542827126
7Real Sociedad177461611525
8Osasuna176742225-325
9Real BetisBetis176652021-124
10GironaGirona176472325-222
11Sevilla176471823-522
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano165561819-120
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe173771114-316
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010


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