Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 47.23%. A win for Girona has a probability of 28.72% and a draw has a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Girona win is 2-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.22%).
Result | ||
Girona | Draw | Real Madrid |
28.72% ( -3.36) | 24.04% ( 0.18) | 47.23% ( 3.18) |
Both teams to score 58.09% ( -2.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.07% ( -2.54) | 43.92% ( 2.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.69% ( -2.53) | 66.31% ( 2.53) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.49% ( -3.44) | 28.51% ( 3.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.71% ( -4.54) | 64.28% ( 4.53) |
Real Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.25% ( 0.3) | 18.74% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.87% ( 0.5) | 50.13% ( -0.5) |
Score Analysis |
Girona | Draw | Real Madrid |
2-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.53) 1-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.36) 3-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.55) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.43) 3-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.35) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.28) Other @ 2.66% Total : 28.72% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.39) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.57) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.23) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.04% | 1-2 @ 9.4% ( 0.32) 0-1 @ 8.95% ( 1.03) 0-2 @ 7.49% ( 0.93) 1-3 @ 5.25% ( 0.22) 0-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.55) 2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.18) 1-4 @ 2.2% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 1.75% ( 0.25) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.36% Total : 47.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 42 | 14 | 28 | 34 |
2 | Real Madrid | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 30 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 29 |
4 | Villarreal | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 23 |
6 | Osasuna | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 22 |
7 | GironaGirona | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 21 |
8 | Mallorca | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 21 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Real Sociedad | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Sevilla | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 18 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 16 |
14 | Leganes | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 14 |
15 | Getafe | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 13 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 13 |
17 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
18 | Valencia | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 10 |
19 | Espanyol | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |