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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2022 at 3pm UK
Ankara Ondokuz Mayıs Stadyumu
Istanbul Basaksehir

Ankaragucu
1 - 2
Istanbul

Cigerci (55' pen.)
Cigerci (57')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Okaka (3'), Turuc (81')
Ali Sahiner (28'), Paulin Keny (78'), (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Ankaragucu and Istanbul Basaksehir, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ankaragucu 2-1 Sivasspor
Sunday, September 18 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbul 0-0 Karagumruk
Sunday, September 18 at 3pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Ankaragucu 0-2 Istanbul Basaksehir

With Istanbul Basasehir still undefeated and yet to concede a league goal this season, we think that they will claim a fairly comfortable victory over an Ankaragucu side who are still finding their feet in the top flight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Ankaragucu had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Ankaragucu win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.

Result
AnkaragucuDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
28.96% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 27.83% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 43.21% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Both teams to score 46.5% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.97% (0.010999999999996 0.01)59.03% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.51% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)79.49% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Ankaragucu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.78% (0.015999999999998 0.02)36.22% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27% (0.015999999999998 0.02)73.01% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.91% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)27.09% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.53% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)62.47% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Ankaragucu 28.96%
    Istanbul Basaksehir 43.2%
    Draw 27.83%
AnkaragucuDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
1-0 @ 9.96% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-1 @ 6.61% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-0 @ 5.06% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 2.24% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 1.71% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.46% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 28.96%
1-1 @ 13.01%
0-0 @ 9.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.32% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.83%
0-1 @ 12.81%
1-2 @ 8.5% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-2 @ 8.37% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 3.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 3.64% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.88% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.21%
0-4 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 43.2%

How you voted: Ankaragucu vs Istanbul

Ankaragucu
8.3%
Draw
16.7%
Istanbul Basaksehir
75.0%
12
Head to Head
May 3, 2021 2pm
Istanbul
2-1
Ankaragucu
Aleksic (63'), Fernandes (88')
Chadli (17'), Aleksic (48'), Fernandes (90')
Paintsil (15')
Sarlija (17'), Kitsiou (43'), Lukasik (58'), Cekici (59'), Kulusic (79')
Jan 10, 2021 1pm
Ankaragucu
1-2
Istanbul
Cekici (20')
Cankaya (45'), Turan (48')
Visca (17'), Ba (56')
Kahveci (45'), Da Silva (79'), Aleksic (90+3')
Jun 19, 2020 7pm
Ankaragucu
1-2
Istanbul
Rodrigues (12' pen.)
Lukasik (40'), Faty (48'), Rodrigues (61'), Kitsiou (65')
Aleksic (59'), Visca (73')
Skrtel (10'), Aleksic (61'), Crivelli (76'), Gunok (90+1')
Nov 10, 2019 4pm
Istanbul
2-1
Ankaragucu
Crivelli (10', 77')
Turan (84')
Karabulut (87')
Kitsiou (39'), Sak (66')
May 12, 2019 5pm
Istanbul
2-1
Ankaragucu
Bajic (46'), Robinho (62')
Boyd (17')
Pazdan (66')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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