Conference League | Final
May 29, 2024 at 8pm UK
Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis
Olympiacos1 - 0Fiorentina
The Match
Match Report
Ayoub El Kaabi nets an extra-time winner to fire Olympiacos to a 1-0 victory over Fiorentina in the Europa Conference League final.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Europa Conference League final between Olympiacos and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Panathinaikos 2-2 Olympiacos
Sunday, May 19 at 6pm in Greek Superleague
Sunday, May 19 at 6pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Cagliari 2-3 Fiorentina
Thursday, May 23 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Thursday, May 23 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Goals
for
for
58
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%).
| Result | ||
| Olympiacos | Draw | Fiorentina |
39.19% ( -1.43) | 25.22% ( -0.26) | 35.59% ( 1.7) |
| Both teams to score 56.86% ( 1.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.23% ( 1.45) | 46.76% ( -1.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.97% ( 1.34) | 69.02% ( -1.34) |
| Olympiacos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.39% ( -0.09) | 23.61% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.31% ( -0.13) | 57.68% ( 0.13) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.43% ( 1.69) | 25.56% ( -1.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.56% ( 2.25) | 60.43% ( -2.25) |
| Score Analysis |
Olympiacos 39.19%
Fiorentina 35.59%
Draw 25.22%
| Olympiacos | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 1-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.57) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.43)3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.05% Total : 39.19% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.37)2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 8.1% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.29)2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.2)0-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.21)1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.15)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.58% Total : 35.59% |
How you voted: Olympiacos vs Fiorentina
Olympiacos
55.7%Draw
19.5%Fiorentina
24.9%406
Form Guide
