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Serie A
Napoli logo
Serie A | Gameweek 11
Nov 3, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Atalanta logo

Napoli
0 - 3
Atalanta


Retegui (90+2'), Mazzocchi (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Lookman (10', 31'), Retegui (90+2')
Kolasinac (65'), Djimsiti (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 0-2 Napoli
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 2-0 Monza
Wednesday, October 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Napoli 1-1 Atalanta BC

 Keeping a clean sheet in seven of their last eight matches, Napoli have recorded an aggregate scoreline of 18-1 during that time. So, even free-scoring Atalanta must approach this game with some trepidation, and they would surely settle for just the second draw in 19 league games between the two teams. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 52.79%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 23.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
NapoliDrawAtalanta BC
52.79% (0.83 0.83) 23.49% (-0.293 -0.29) 23.72% (-0.537 -0.54)
Both teams to score 55.27% (0.348 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.5% (0.752 0.75)45.5% (-0.752 -0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.17% (0.714 0.71)67.83% (-0.714 -0.71)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.79% (0.587 0.59)17.21% (-0.587 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.51% (1.024 1.02)47.49% (-1.025 -1.03)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.76% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)33.24% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.14% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)69.85% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 52.78%
    Atalanta BC 23.72%
    Draw 23.48%
NapoliDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 10.06% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.049000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.86% (0.058 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.72% (0.138 0.14)
3-0 @ 5.2% (0.132 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.071 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.52% (0.108 0.11)
4-0 @ 2.29% (0.101 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.39% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 52.78%
1-1 @ 11.08% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 5.72% (-0.186 -0.19)
2-2 @ 5.37% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.48%
0-1 @ 6.3% (-0.214 -0.21)
1-2 @ 6.11% (-0.095999999999999 -0.1)
0-2 @ 3.47% (-0.123 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 23.72%

How you voted: Napoli vs Atalanta

Napoli
68.1%
Draw
25.4%
Atalanta BC
6.5%
138
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2024 11.30am
Gameweek 30
Napoli
0-3
Atalanta

Osimhen (38'), Di Lorenzo (84')
Miranchuk (26'), Scamacca (45'), Koopmeiners (88')
Kolasinac (54'), Koopmeiners (82')
> Preview
Nov 25, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 13
Atalanta
1-2
Napoli
Lookman (53')
Djimsiti (27'), Kolasinac (64')
Kvaratskhelia (44'), Elmas (79')
Natan (21'), Mazzarri (22'), Di Lorenzo (60')
> Preview
Mar 11, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 26
Napoli
2-0
Atalanta
Kvaratskhelia (60'), Rrahmani (77')
> Preview
Nov 5, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 13
Atalanta
1-2
Napoli
Lookman (19' pen.)
Osimhen (23'), Elmas (35')
> Preview
Apr 3, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 31
Atalanta
1-3
Napoli
De Roon (58')
Luis Palomino (35'), de Roon (86')
Insigne (14' pen.), Politano (37'), Elmas (81')
Jesus (67'), Ospina (76'), Zambo Anguissa (85')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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