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Serie A
Napoli logo
Serie A | Gameweek 9
Oct 26, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Lecce logo

Napoli
1 - 0
Lecce

Di Lorenzo (73')
Ngonge (19'), Di Lorenzo (51'), Rebic (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pierotti (77'), Rebic (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 0-1 Napoli
Sunday, October 20 at 11.30am in Serie A

Lecce

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 0-6 Fiorentina
Sunday, October 20 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Napoli 3-0 Lecce

 There is a huge gulf in both quality and confidence within the two camps, as Napoli are riding the crest of a wave and Lecce cannot score or keep a clean sheet. The Serie A leaders are set to extend their winning streak, while their visitors could finish the week rock-bottom of the standings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 73.61%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 9.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.7%) and 3-0 (10.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.02%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
NapoliDrawLecce
73.61% (-0.097000000000008 -0.1) 16.88% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 9.51% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 44.56% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.06% (-0.061 -0.06)42.94% (0.064 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.66% (-0.061 -0.06)65.34% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.85% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)10.15% (0.042 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.62% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)33.38% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.59% (0.064 0.06)50.4% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.06% (0.047000000000001 0.05)84.94% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 73.58%
    Lecce 9.51%
    Draw 16.88%
NapoliDrawLecce
2-0 @ 13.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 11.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 10.2% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.99% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 5.84% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
4-1 @ 4% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.67% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.83% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
6-0 @ 1.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 73.58%
1-1 @ 8.02% (0.023 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.12% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.14% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 16.88%
0-1 @ 3.51% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 2.75% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.2% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 9.51%

How you voted: Napoli vs Lecce

Napoli
90.2%
Draw
7.1%
Lecce
2.7%
112
Head to Head
May 26, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 38
Napoli
0-0
Lecce
> Preview
Sep 30, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 7
Lecce
0-4
Napoli

Gallo (36'), Ramadani (57'), D'Aversa (67'), Gonzalez (81')
Skiri Oestigaard (16'), Osimhen (51'), Gaetano (88'), Politano (90+4' pen.)
Simeone (17'), Kvaratskhelia (33')
> Preview
Apr 7, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 29
Lecce
1-2
Napoli
Di Francesco (52')
Di Lorenzo (18'), Gallo (64' og.)
> Preview
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Napoli
1-1
Lecce
Elmas (27')
Colombo (31')
> Preview
Feb 9, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 23
Napoli
2-3
Lecce
Milik (48'), Callejon (90')
Koulibaly (37'), Zielinski (57'), Milik (73'), Rui (80'), Demme (84')
Lapadula (29', 61'), Mancosu (82')
Rispoli (66'), Vigorito (78'), Petriccione (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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