MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 11:13:14| >> :60:80:80:
Parma logo
Club Friendlies 3
Aug 4, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Atalanta logo

Parma
4 - 1
Atalanta

Man (6', 51'), Bonny (30'), Partipilo (78')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Lookman (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's friendly between Parma and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heidenheim 1-0 Parma
Wednesday, July 31 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: AZ 2-2 Atalanta
Saturday, July 27 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Parma 1-1 Atalanta BC

As Parma are further ahead in their preparations and have home advantage, the Serie A newcomers can hold their more established counterparts to a draw in this pre-season contest; Atalanta are still well short of match fitness. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Parma would win this match.

Result
ParmaDrawAtalanta BC
39.23% (-0.26900000000001 -0.27) 25.93% (0.039000000000001 0.04) 34.83% (0.225 0.23)
Both teams to score 54.31% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.99% (-0.143 -0.14)50.01% (0.14 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.01% (-0.127 -0.13)71.99% (0.125 0.13)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.95% (-0.20700000000001 -0.21)25.04% (0.204 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.28% (-0.289 -0.29)59.72% (0.286 0.29)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.45% (0.067999999999998 0.07)27.55% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.94% (0.089000000000006 0.09)63.06% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Parma 39.23%
    Atalanta BC 34.83%
    Draw 25.93%
ParmaDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 9.55% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 8.53% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.61% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.93% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.05% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 39.23%
1-1 @ 12.31% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.9% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.93%
0-1 @ 8.9% (0.068 0.07)
1-2 @ 7.94% (0.03 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.73% (0.055 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.41% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.46% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.36%
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 34.83%

How you voted: Parma vs Atalanta

Parma
18.8%
Draw
31.3%
Atalanta BC
50.0%
16
Head to Head
May 9, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 35
Parma
2-5
Atalanta
Brunetta (78'), Sohm (88')
Grassi (44')
Malinovskyi (12'), Pessina (52'), Muriel (77', 86'), Miranchuk (90+3')
Hateboer (72')
Jan 6, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 16
Atalanta
3-0
Parma
Muriel (15'), Zapata (49'), Gosens (61')
Pessina (45')

Cyprien (39')
Jul 28, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 37
Parma
1-2
Atalanta
Kulusevski (43')
Darmian (19'), Kucka (45+3')
Malinovskiy (70'), Papu (84')
Sutalo (6')
Jan 6, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 18
Atalanta
5-0
Parma
Papu (11'), Freuler (34'), Gosens (43'), Ilicic (60', 71')
Papu (29'), Freuler (70')

Barilla (8'), Pezzella (27'), Kucka (57'), Hernani (71')
Mar 31, 2019 11.30am
Gameweek 29
Parma
1-3
Atalanta
Pasalic (24'), Zapata (75', 90')
Castagne (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!