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Women's Super League | Gameweek 11
Apr 28, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Wheatsheaf Park

Chelsea Women
2 - 1
Spurs Ladies

England (19'), Kerr (45+1')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Harrop (44')
Ayane (87'), Bartrip (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Women's Super League clash between Chelsea Women and Tottenham Hotspur Ladies, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Chelsea Women 2-0 Tottenham Hotspur Ladies

After some poor attacking displays from Spurs in their last couple of games, it is hard to see where they can penetrate Chelsea's strong defence, which is why the hosts are likely to keep a clean sheet. Chelsea know the importance of this game by the fact that three points will take them top of the league with five games to go, and they are not expected to let an opportunity like this pass them by. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 84.99%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for Tottenham Hotspur Ladies had a probability of 4.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.01%) and 4-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.03%), while for a Tottenham Hotspur Ladies win it was 0-1 (1.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawTottenham Hotspur Ladies
84.99%10.59%4.42%
Both teams to score 39.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.84%33.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.08%54.92%
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.5%5.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.55%21.45%
Tottenham Hotspur Ladies Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
41.88%58.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.34%89.66%
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 84.98%
    Tottenham Hotspur Ladies 4.42%
    Draw 10.59%
Chelsea WomenDrawTottenham Hotspur Ladies
2-0 @ 13.45%
3-0 @ 13.01%
4-0 @ 9.44%
1-0 @ 9.27%
2-1 @ 7.3%
3-1 @ 7.06%
5-0 @ 5.48%
4-1 @ 5.12%
5-1 @ 2.97%
6-0 @ 2.65%
3-2 @ 1.92%
6-1 @ 1.44%
4-2 @ 1.39%
7-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 84.98%
1-1 @ 5.03%
0-0 @ 3.2%
2-2 @ 1.98%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 10.59%
0-1 @ 1.73%
1-2 @ 1.37%
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 4.42%

How you voted: Chelsea Women vs Spurs Ladies

Chelsea Women
87.0%
Draw
8.7%
Tottenham Hotspur Ladies
4.3%
23
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2022 2.30pm
Spurs Ladies
1-3
Chelsea Women
Ingle (15' og.)
Zadorsky (73'), Deman (75')
Reiten (27'), Kerr (71'), Fleming (90+5')
Bright (45+4'), Carter (90+3')
Berger (33')
May 5, 2021 5.30pm
Jan 31, 2021 12.30pm
Chelsea Women
4-0
Spurs Ladies
Leupolz (27', 63' pen.), McManus (29' og.), Kerr (38')
Sep 8, 2019 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
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