MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 04:46:18| >> :300:86500:86500:
Women's Super League | Gameweek 13
Feb 4, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Trevor Brown Memorial Ground

Aston Villa
1 - 1
Brighton Women

Green (33' og.)
Mayling (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Zigiotti-Olme (74')
Kullberg (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Super League clash between Aston Villa Women and Brighton & Hove Albion Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City Women 1-1 Aston Villa
Saturday, January 21 at 11.30am in Women's Super League
Last Game: Leicester Women 3-0 Brighton Women
Sunday, January 15 at 3pm in Women's Super League

We said: Aston Villa Women 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Women

Brighton have struggled to perform on their travels this season, losing four of their five WSL away games, and we think that they will be edged out by an Aston Villa side who have won two of their previous three home league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.34%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Women win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
Aston Villa WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
42.71% (-0.103 -0.1) 22.82% (0.126 0.13) 34.47% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 65.47% (-0.479 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.54% (-0.628 -0.63)35.46% (0.63 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.5% (-0.698 -0.7)57.5% (0.7 0.7)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.8% (-0.292 -0.29)17.2% (0.294 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.52% (-0.521 -0.52)47.48% (0.523 0.52)
Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.07% (-0.298 -0.3)20.93% (0.299 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.33% (-0.471 -0.47)53.67% (0.473 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa Women 42.71%
    Brighton & Hove Albion Women 34.47%
    Draw 22.82%
Aston Villa WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
2-1 @ 8.72% (0.026000000000002 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.34% (0.138 0.14)
2-0 @ 5.58% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.12% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
3-2 @ 4% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.27% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.25% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.44% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-3 @ 0.92% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 42.71%
1-1 @ 9.91% (0.127 0.13)
2-2 @ 6.82% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.6% (0.113 0.11)
3-3 @ 2.09% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.82%
1-2 @ 7.75% (0.027 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.63% (0.126 0.13)
0-2 @ 4.4% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.04% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.56% (-0.055 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.3% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.58% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.39% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 34.47%

Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 11.30am
Mar 17, 2021 7.30pm
Aston Villa
0-2
Brighton Women

Arthur (45+3'), Hutton (65'), Weiss (80')
Whelan (21'), Kaagman (81' pen.)
Nov 8, 2020 2pm
Brighton Women
0-2
Aston Villa

Simpkins (68'), Kerkdijk (82'), Bowman (84'), Connolly (88')
Asante (59'), Petzelberger (90+2')
Hutton (71')
rhs 2.0
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