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Women's Super League | Gameweek 14
Mar 8, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Wheatsheaf Park

Chelsea Women
3 - 1
Brighton Women

Reiten (12' pen.), Carter (21'), Rytting-Kaneryd (71')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Carter (88')
Sarri (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's Super League clash between Chelsea Women and Brighton & Hove Albion Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spurs Ladies 2-3 Chelsea Women
Sunday, February 5 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Brighton Women 2-6 Aston Villa
Sunday, February 12 at 2pm in Women's Super League

We said: Chelsea Women 3-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Women

Brighton have conceded 14 goals across their last four away league games, and we think a vulnerable backline may struggle to keep the league's second-highest scorers at bay, which could result in a comfortable Chelsea win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 86.82%. A draw had a probability of 9.1% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 4.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 4-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.25%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win it was 1-2 (1.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Chelsea Women in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Chelsea Women.

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
86.82% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05) 9.06% (0.0050000000000008 0.01) 4.12% (0.04 0.04)
Both teams to score 44.8% (0.38500000000001 0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.2% (0.242 0.24)25.8% (-0.243 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.04% (0.312 0.31)45.95% (-0.315 -0.31)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.09% (0.030999999999992 0.03)3.91% (-0.0321 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
83.4% (0.10299999999999 0.1)16.6% (-0.104 -0.1)
Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.63% (0.386 0.39)53.37% (-0.387 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.11% (0.238 0.24)86.89% (-0.23899999999999 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 86.81%
    Brighton & Hove Albion Women 4.12%
    Draw 9.06%
Chelsea WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
3-0 @ 11.84% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 10.96% (-0.12 -0.12)
4-0 @ 9.6% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-1 @ 7.44% (0.027 0.03)
2-1 @ 6.89% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.77% (-0.088 -0.09)
5-0 @ 6.22% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
4-1 @ 6.03% (0.037 0.04)
5-1 @ 3.91% (0.035 0.04)
6-0 @ 3.36%
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.035 0.04)
6-1 @ 2.11% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.89% (0.033 0.03)
7-0 @ 1.56% (0.004 0)
5-2 @ 1.23% (0.024 0.02)
7-1 @ 0.98% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 86.81%
1-1 @ 4.25% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.16% (0.028 0.03)
0-0 @ 2.09% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 9.06%
1-2 @ 1.33% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 1.31% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 4.12%

How you voted: Chelsea Women vs Brighton Women

Chelsea Women
75.0%
Draw
18.8%
Brighton & Hove Albion Women
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2022 6.45pm
Brighton Women
0-2
Chelsea Women

Zigiotti-Olme (86')
England (58'), Mosegaard-Harder (86')
Jan 23, 2022 12.30pm
Brighton Women
0-0
Chelsea Women

Mosegaard-Harder (33')
Oct 2, 2021 11.30am
Chelsea Women
3-1
Brighton Women
Reiten (9'), Kerr (38'), England (80')
Bright (27'), Reiten (57')
Carter (48')
Kaagman (65')
Feb 7, 2021 2pm
rhs 2.0
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