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Women's FA Cup | Semi-Finals
Apr 16, 2023 at 2.15pm UK
Poundland Bescot Stadium

Aston Villa
0 - 1
Chelsea Women

FT(HT: 0-0)
Kerr (59')
Musovic (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's FA Cup clash between Aston Villa Women and Chelsea Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 0-3 Chelsea Women
Sunday, April 2 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 0-3 Chelsea Women
Sunday, April 2 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League

We said: Aston Villa Women 0-2 Chelsea Women

Chelsea will go into the semi-final as the favourites, and after claiming a comfortable victory over Aston Villa before the international break, we think that they will have the confidence and belief required to record another win over the Villans on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 80.97%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 6.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.32%) and 0-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.95%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-0 (2.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa WomenDrawChelsea Women
6.47% (0.0801 0.08) 12.56% (-0.064 -0.06) 80.97% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 45.93% (0.797 0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.9% (0.726 0.73)33.09% (-0.727 -0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.17% (0.82899999999999 0.83)54.83% (-0.829 -0.83)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.99% (0.776 0.78)51% (-0.776 -0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.65% (0.517 0.52)85.34% (-0.517 -0.52)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.75% (0.143 0.14)6.25% (-0.1439 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.42% (0.399 0.4)23.57% (-0.4 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa Women 6.47%
    Chelsea Women 80.96%
    Draw 12.56%
Aston Villa WomenDrawChelsea Women
1-0 @ 2.15% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-1 @ 2% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 6.47%
1-1 @ 5.95% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.19% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-2 @ 2.78% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 12.56%
0-2 @ 12.25% (-0.26 -0.26)
0-3 @ 11.32% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-1 @ 8.84% (-0.267 -0.27)
1-2 @ 8.25% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 7.85% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 7.62% (0.072 0.07)
1-4 @ 5.29% (0.094 0.09)
0-5 @ 4.35% (0.015 0.01)
1-5 @ 2.93% (0.076 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.57% (0.082 0.08)
0-6 @ 2.01% (0.024 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.78% (0.071 0.07)
1-6 @ 1.36% (0.046 0.05)
2-5 @ 0.99% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 80.96%

Head to Head
Apr 2, 2023 6.45pm
Oct 30, 2022 2pm
Chelsea Women
3-1
Aston Villa
James (22', 47'), Kerr (63')
Daly (38')
Brown (45+1')
Mar 13, 2022 1pm
Nov 6, 2021 12.30pm
Mar 28, 2021 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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