Lyon's impressive European record proves that they rarely falter at the quarter-final stage, but we think that they may struggle to mount a turnaround on Thursday. Chelsea have won all 12 of their competitive home games this season, and we believe that they will claim another victory to move into the semi-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon Women win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Chelsea Women win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%).

Result
Chelsea Women	Draw	Lyon Women
31.88% ( -1.88)	26.95% ( -0.4)	41.17% ( 2.28)

Both teams to score 50.31% (

0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.22% (

1.15)

54.78% (

-1.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.91% (

0.94)

76.09% (

-0.94)

Chelsea Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.17% (

-0.69)

31.83% (

0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.73% (

-0.79)

68.27% (

0.79)

Lyon Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.8% (

1.8)

26.2% (

-1.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.71% (

2.34)

61.29% (

-2.34)

Score Analysis

Chelsea Women 31.88%

Lyon Women 41.17%

Draw 26.94%

Chelsea Women	Draw	Lyon Women
1-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.62) 2-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.47) 3-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 1.87% Other @ 2.8% Total : 31.88%	1-1 @ 12.78% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.94%	0-1 @ 11.17% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.56% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.41) 1-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.33) 0-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.34) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.17) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.16) Other @ 2.21% Total : 41.17%