Chelsea will face a difficult challenge on Wednesday, but having avoided defeat in all six of their Champions League games this season, we think that they will hold Lyon to a draw, which would represent a positive result for the away side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon Women win with a probability of 43.7%. A win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Chelsea Women win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Lyon Women	Draw	Chelsea Women
43.7% ( -0.88)	25.31% ( 0.16)	30.99% ( 0.72)

Both teams to score 55.16% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.64% (

-0.39)

48.35% (

0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.5% (

-0.36)

70.49% (

0.36)

Lyon Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.91% (

-0.57)

22.09% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.55% (

-0.87)

55.45% (

0.87)

Chelsea Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.8% (

0.29)

29.19% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.86% (

0.36)

65.13% (

-0.36)

Score Analysis

Lyon Women 43.7%

Chelsea Women 30.99%

Draw 25.3%

Lyon Women	Draw	Chelsea Women
1-0 @ 9.74% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.33% Total : 43.7%	1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.3%	0-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.52% Total : 30.99%