Although they are without the services of a number of key players, Lyon usually perform well on home turf, and we think that they will begin the defence of their European crown with a victory over Arsenal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon Women win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for Arsenal Women had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.07%) and 2-0 (5.86%). The likeliest Arsenal Women win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Lyon Women	Draw	Arsenal Women
49.39% ( 0)	21.42% ( 0.01)	29.19% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 68.06% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.02% (

-0.07)

30.97% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.64% (

-0.09)

52.35% (

0.09)

Lyon Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.87% (

-0.03)

13.12% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.23% (

-0.05)

39.77% (

0.05)

Arsenal Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.34% (

-0.05)

21.65% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.22% (

-0.08)

54.78% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Lyon Women 49.39%

Arsenal Women 29.19%

Draw 21.42%

Lyon Women	Draw	Arsenal Women
2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.07% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.08% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.25% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 3.25% Total : 49.39%	1-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.86% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.52% Total : 21.42%	1-2 @ 6.75% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.33% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0) 3-4 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 29.19%