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Women's Super League | Gameweek 3
Sep 24, 2022 at 1.30pm UK
 

Arsenal Women
4 - 0
Spurs Ladies

Mead (5'), Miedema (44', 69'), Souza (54')
Foord (56')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Spence (54'), Turner (59'), Neville (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Super League clash between Arsenal Women and Tottenham Hotspur Ladies, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal Women 2-2 Ajax Vrouwen
Tuesday, September 20 at 7.30pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Leicester Women 1-2 Spurs Ladies
Sunday, September 18 at 3pm in Women's Super League

We said: Arsenal Women 3-0 Tottenham Hotspur Ladies

It is difficult to see past Arsenal for this clash, not least because of their imperious record over Tottenham in the WSL, but also due to the performances so far this season. Expect the record WSL crowd to be treated to an Arsenal masterclass on Saturday afternoon, as the Gunners continue their strong start to the campaign with a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 84.46%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for Tottenham Hotspur Ladies had a probability of 4.94%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.02%) and 4-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.02%), while for a Tottenham Hotspur Ladies win it was 0-1 (1.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result
Arsenal WomenDrawTottenham Hotspur Ladies
84.46% (1.347 1.35) 10.6% (-0.774 -0.77) 4.94% (-0.574 -0.57)
Both teams to score 43.97% (-0.76000000000001 -0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.92% (1.253 1.25)30.08% (-1.256 -1.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.71% (1.493 1.49)51.29% (-1.497 -1.5)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.96% (0.467 0.47)5.03% (-0.471 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.92% (1.387 1.39)20.08% (-1.389 -1.39)
Tottenham Hotspur Ladies Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.31% (-1.034 -1.03)53.69% (1.031 1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.91% (-0.654 -0.65)87.08% (0.652 0.65)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Women 84.45%
    Tottenham Hotspur Ladies 4.94%
    Draw 10.6%
Arsenal WomenDrawTottenham Hotspur Ladies
2-0 @ 12.07% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-0 @ 12.02% (0.25 0.25)
4-0 @ 8.99% (0.451 0.45)
1-0 @ 8.08% (-0.328 -0.33)
2-1 @ 7.51% (-0.307 -0.31)
3-1 @ 7.48% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-1 @ 5.59% (0.116 0.12)
5-0 @ 5.37% (0.423 0.42)
5-1 @ 3.34% (0.167 0.17)
6-0 @ 2.68% (0.284 0.28)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.74% (-0.017 -0.02)
6-1 @ 1.67% (0.13 0.13)
7-0 @ 1.14% (0.152 0.15)
5-2 @ 1.04% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 84.45%
1-1 @ 5.02% (-0.367 -0.37)
0-0 @ 2.7% (-0.197 -0.2)
2-2 @ 2.34% (-0.171 -0.17)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 10.6%
0-1 @ 1.68% (-0.178 -0.18)
1-2 @ 1.56% (-0.167 -0.17)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 4.94%

How you voted: Arsenal Women vs Spurs Ladies

Arsenal Women
90.9%
Draw
0.0%
Tottenham Hotspur Ladies
9.1%
11
Head to Head
May 4, 2022 7.15pm
Arsenal Women
3-0
Spurs Ladies
Mead (4'), Foord (71', 82')
McCabe (73')

Simon (24'), Summanen (57'), Green (73'), Clemaron (74')
Nov 13, 2021 1.30pm
Spurs Ladies
1-1
Arsenal Women
Deman (65')
Clemaron (50'), Neville (82'), Ayane (90+1')
Miedema (90+2')
Mead (82')
Mar 27, 2021 3.30pm
Oct 18, 2020 2.30pm
Arsenal Women
6-1
Spurs Ladies
McCabe (4'), Miedema (7', 36', 41'), Foord (15', 64')
McCabe (75')
Leon (77')
Harrop (36'), Dean (61'), Percival (68')
rhs 2.0
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