Women's Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 24, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Zurich
0 - 3
Lyon

FT(HT: 0-2)

Malard (4'), Bruun (35', 66')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Women's Champions League clash between Zurich Women and Lyon Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zurich Women

Last Game: Arsenal Women 3-1 Zurich
Thursday, October 27 at 8pm in Women's Champions League

Lyon Women

Last Game: Juventus 1-1 Lyon
Thursday, October 27 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

We said: Zurich Women 0-2 Lyon Women

Although Lyon's squad has been depleted by injuries, we still think that they will have too much quality for Zurich, and as a result, we expect them to claim their first victory of the Champions League group stage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon Women win with a probability of 74.68%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Zurich Women had a probability of 8.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.86%) and 0-3 (10.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for a Zurich Women win it was 1-0 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon Women would win this match.

Result
Zurich Women	Draw	Lyon Women
8.55% ( 0.43)	16.76% ( 0.53)	74.68% ( -0.95)

Both teams to score 40.97% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.5% (

-0.89)

45.49% (

0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.17% (

-0.85)

67.82% (

0.85)

Zurich Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.8% (

0.44)

54.19% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.61% (

0.27)

87.39% (

-0.27)

Lyon Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.45% (

-0.48)

10.55% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.72% (

-1.08)

34.28% (

1.08)

Score Analysis

Zurich Women 8.55%

Lyon Women 74.68%

Draw 16.76%

Zurich Women	Draw	Lyon Women
1-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.56% Total : 8.55%	1-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.45% Total : 16.76%	0-2 @ 14.46% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 12.86% ( 0.23) 0-3 @ 10.84% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 8.86% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 6.64% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 6.09% ( -0.27) 1-4 @ 3.73% ( -0.11) 0-5 @ 2.74% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.68% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) 0-6 @ 1.03% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.57% Total : 74.68%