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Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 15, 2022 at 8pm UK
 

Arsenal Women
0 - 1
Lyon


McCabe (84'), McCabe (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Maanum (45+1' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Women's Champions League clash between Arsenal Women and Lyon Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 1-4 Arsenal Women
Sunday, December 11 at 4.15pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Lyon 4-0 Zurich
Wednesday, December 7 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

We said: Arsenal Women 2-1 Lyon Women

Arsenal cruised to a comfortable 5-1 win when these two sides met on matchday one, and although we expect Thursday's game to result in a much closer scoreline, we think that the Gunners will maintain their unbeaten record in this season's Champions League by claiming a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Lyon Women had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Lyon Women win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal WomenDrawLyon Women
38.85% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 24.79% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 36.36% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Both teams to score 58.5% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.31% (0.018000000000001 0.02)44.69% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.95% (0.015999999999998 0.02)67.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.15% (0.013999999999996 0.01)22.86% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.41% (0.018000000000001 0.02)56.6% (-0.012 -0.01)
Lyon Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.83% (0.007000000000005 0.01)24.17% (-0.0029999999999966 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.51% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)58.49% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Women 38.85%
    Lyon Women 36.36%
    Draw 24.78%
Arsenal WomenDrawLyon Women
2-1 @ 8.54% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 8.15% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 6.02%
3-1 @ 4.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.99% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.96% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.09% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 38.85%
1-1 @ 11.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.53% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.78%
1-2 @ 8.22%
0-1 @ 7.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.57% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 3.89%
2-3 @ 2.87% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.64% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.38%
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 36.36%

How you voted: Arsenal Women vs Lyon

Arsenal Women
81.3%
Draw
6.3%
Lyon Women
12.5%
32
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2022 8pm
Lyon
1-5
Arsenal Women
Malard (27')
Renard (44')
Foord (13', 67'), Maanum (23'), Mead (45+1', 69')
rhs 2.0
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5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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