We said: Arsenal Women 2-1 Lyon Women
Arsenal cruised to a comfortable 5-1 win when these two sides met on matchday one, and although we expect Thursday's game to result in a much closer scoreline, we think that the Gunners will maintain their unbeaten record in this season's Champions League by claiming a narrow victory.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Lyon Women had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Lyon Women win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.