Chelsea have recovered from defeat to Liverpool on the opening day of the season to win three consecutive games, and we think that the WSL champions will extend their unbeaten run by holding PSG to a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain Women win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 38.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.46%) and 2-0 (5.22%). The likeliest Chelsea Women win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain Women	Draw	Chelsea Women
38.59% ( 0.21)	23.34% ( 0.03)	38.06% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 64.02% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.42% (

-0.16)

37.57% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.19% (

-0.17)

59.8% (

0.16)

Paris Saint-Germain Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.13% (

0.03)

19.86% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.03% (

0.05)

51.96% (

-0.06)

Chelsea Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.88% (

-0.19)

20.11% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.63% (

-0.3)

52.37% (

0.29)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain Women 38.59%

Chelsea Women 38.06%

Draw 23.34%

Paris Saint-Germain Women	Draw	Chelsea Women
2-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.46% 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.19% Total : 38.59%	1-1 @ 10.35% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.34%	1-2 @ 8.3% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.41% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.12% Total : 38.06%