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Women's Super League | Gameweek 15
Mar 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
 

West Ham
1 - 2
Aston Villa

Asseyi (79')
Hayashi (22')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Daly (34'), Nobbs (62')
Littlejohn (85'), Daly (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between West Ham United Women and Aston Villa Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading Women 2-1 West Ham
Sunday, March 5 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Everton Ladies 0-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, March 5 at 1pm in Women's Super League

We said: West Ham United Women 1-2 Aston Villa Women

Although Aston Villa have never beaten West Ham in the WSL, they head into Sunday's contest in fine form, and we think they have the extra quality required to claim a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 62.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for West Ham United Women had a probability of 17.57%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.58%) and 0-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a West Ham United Women win it was 2-1 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Aston Villa Women in this match.

Result
West Ham United WomenDrawAston Villa Women
17.57% (-0.157 -0.16) 20.18% (-0.11 -0.11) 62.24% (0.265 0.27)
Both teams to score 56.76% (0.067 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.1% (0.23699999999999 0.24)38.9% (-0.239 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.78% (0.248 0.25)61.21% (-0.251 -0.25)
West Ham United Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.49% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)35.51% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.72% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03)72.27% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.01% (0.145 0.14)11.98% (-0.148 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.58% (0.308 0.31)37.41% (-0.311 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    West Ham United Women 17.57%
    Aston Villa Women 62.24%
    Draw 20.18%
West Ham United WomenDrawAston Villa Women
2-1 @ 4.84% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-0 @ 4.41% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-0 @ 2.28% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.004 -0)
3-1 @ 1.67% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 17.57%
1-1 @ 9.35% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.26% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.0039999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.18%
1-2 @ 9.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 9.03% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
1-3 @ 7.01% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
0-3 @ 6.77% (0.04 0.04)
1-4 @ 3.72% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.63% (0.015 0.01)
0-4 @ 3.59% (0.042 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.93% (0.019 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.58% (0.026 0.03)
0-5 @ 1.52% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 62.24%

Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 12.30pm
Feb 6, 2022 6pm
Aston Villa
1-2
West Ham
Lehmann (42' pen.)
Stringer (12'), Svitkova (52')
Stringer (36'), Walker (40'), Longhurst (60')
Sep 11, 2021 11.30am
May 2, 2021 12.30pm
Apr 20, 2021 6pm
West Ham
0-0
Aston Villa

Vetterlein (23'), Cissoko (57')

N'Dow (27'), Gregory (62'), Hutton (90+3'), Ale (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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