Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 81.42%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for West Ham United Women had a probability of 6.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.36%) and 0-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.82%), while for a West Ham United Women win it was 1-0 (2.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.