Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 68.9%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Liverpool Women had a probability of 12.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for a Liverpool Women win it was 0-1 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.