Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 92.26%. A draw had a probability of 5.8% and a win for Leicester Women had a probability of 1.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (12.19%) and 2-0 (11.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.77%), while for a Leicester Women win it was 0-1 (0.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.