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Women's Super League | Gameweek 4
Oct 16, 2022 at 2pm UK
Academy Stadium

Man City Women
4 - 0
Leicester Women

Shaw (24', 79'), Hemp (72'), Hasegawa (88')
Greenwood (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)

O'Brien (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Manchester City Women and Leicester Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Everton Ladies 1-0 Leicester Women
Thursday, September 29 at 6.30pm in Women's Super League

We said: Manchester City Women 2-0 Leicester Women

Although Manchester City have lost their opening two league games, we think they will have too much quality for Leicester on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 92.26%. A draw had a probability of 5.8% and a win for Leicester Women had a probability of 1.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (12.19%) and 2-0 (11.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.77%), while for a Leicester Women win it was 0-1 (0.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.

Result
Manchester City WomenDrawLeicester Women
92.26% (-0.197 -0.2) 5.82% (0.124 0.12) 1.92% (0.069 0.07)
Both teams to score 35.47% (0.436 0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.4% (-0.14800000000001 -0.15)22.59% (0.145 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
58.29% (-0.19900000000001 -0.2)41.71% (0.196 0.2)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.35% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)2.65% (0.046 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
87.74% (-0.17100000000001 -0.17)12.26% (0.168 0.17)
Leicester Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
36.43% (0.464 0.46)63.56% (-0.468 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
7.63% (0.209 0.21)92.36% (-0.21299999999999 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City Women 92.24%
    Leicester Women 1.92%
    Draw 5.82%
Manchester City WomenDrawLeicester Women
3-0 @ 13.43% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
4-0 @ 12.19% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-0 @ 11.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
5-0 @ 8.86% (-0.125 -0.13)
1-0 @ 6.11% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.09% (0.073 0.07)
4-1 @ 5.53% (0.039 0.04)
6-0 @ 5.36% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-1 @ 5.03% (0.084 0.08)
5-1 @ 4.01% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
7-0 @ 2.78% (-0.066 -0.07)
6-1 @ 2.43% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.38% (0.039 0.04)
8-0 @ 1.26% (-0.036 -0.04)
7-1 @ 1.26% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.029 0.03)
5-2 @ 0.91% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 92.24%
1-1 @ 2.77% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 1.68% (0.017 0.02)
2-2 @ 1.14% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 5.82%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 1.92%

Head to Head
Apr 24, 2022 2pm
Nov 7, 2021 2pm
rhs 2.0
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FT
Bengals
34-35
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