Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 88.48%. A draw had a probability of 8.3% and a win for West Ham United Women had a probability of 3.23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.15%) and 4-0 (10.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.94%), while for a West Ham United Women win it was 0-1 (1.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.