Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Arsenal Women had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Arsenal Women win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.