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Women's Super League | Gameweek 21
May 21, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Wheatsheaf Park

Chelsea Women
2 - 0
Arsenal Women

Reiten (22'), Ericsson (41')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Wubben-Moy (34'), McCabe (45+1')

The Match

Match Report

Chelsea move closer to the Women's Super League title with a 2-0 beating of Arsenal, whose own hopes of glory are now over.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Chelsea Women and Arsenal Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Ham 0-4 Chelsea Women
Wednesday, May 17 at 8.15pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Everton Ladies 1-4 Arsenal Women
Wednesday, May 17 at 6.15pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Arsenal Women had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Arsenal Women win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawArsenal Women
42.29% (-8.197 -8.2) 24.29% (0.902 0.9) 33.43% (7.294 7.29)
Both teams to score 59.68% (1.472 1.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.1% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)42.9% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.7% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)65.3% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.56% (-3.381 -3.38)20.44% (3.381 3.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.11% (-5.665 -5.67)52.89% (5.664 5.66)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.01% (4.833 4.83)24.99% (-4.833 -4.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.35% (6.262 6.26)59.65% (-6.262 -6.26)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 42.29%
    Arsenal Women 33.43%
    Draw 24.28%
Chelsea WomenDrawArsenal Women
2-1 @ 8.93% (-0.698 -0.7)
1-0 @ 8.11% (-0.888 -0.89)
2-0 @ 6.44% (-1.519 -1.52)
3-1 @ 4.73% (-0.949 -0.95)
3-0 @ 3.41% (-1.283 -1.28)
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.156 -0.16)
4-1 @ 1.88% (-0.634 -0.63)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.721 -0.72)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.218 -0.22)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 42.29%
1-1 @ 11.24% (0.36 0.36)
2-2 @ 6.19% (0.367 0.37)
0-0 @ 5.11% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.51% (0.13 0.13)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.28%
1-2 @ 7.8% (1.212 1.21)
0-1 @ 7.08% (0.928 0.93)
0-2 @ 4.91% (1.188 1.19)
1-3 @ 3.6% (0.949 0.95)
2-3 @ 2.86% (0.513 0.51)
0-3 @ 2.27% (0.769 0.77)
1-4 @ 1.25% (0.446 0.45)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.282 0.28)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 33.43%

Head to Head
Jan 15, 2023 12pm
gameweek 11
Arsenal Women
1-1
Chelsea Women
Little (57' pen.)
McCabe (88')
Kerr (89')
James (39')
Apr 17, 2022 12.30pm
Semi-Finals
Arsenal Women
0-2
Chelsea Women

Mead (48')
Reiten (50'), So-yun (61')
Cuthbert (65')
Feb 11, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 15
Chelsea Women
0-0
Arsenal Women

Reiten (52')

Maritz (44'), Walti (53')
Dec 5, 2021 2pm
Final
Arsenal Women
0-3
Chelsea Women

Mead (8'), McCabe (66'), Parris (80')
Kirby (3'), Kerr (57', 77')
Cuthbert (45')
Sep 5, 2021 12.30pm
gameweek 1
Arsenal Women
3-2
Chelsea Women
Miedema (14'), Mead (49', 60')
McCabe (23'), Parris (85')
Cuthbert (44'), Mosegaard-Harder (64')
Ericsson (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Steelers
19-24
Browns
Tables header RHS


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