Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 91.5%. A draw had a probability of 6.2% and a win for Leicester Women had a probability of 2.26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (11.53%) and 2-0 (10.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.96%), while for a Leicester Women win it was 0-1 (0.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.