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Women's Super League | Gameweek 1
Feb 11, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Academy Stadium

Man City Women
2 - 1
Arsenal Women

Hemp (4'), Kelly (43')
Greenwood (56'), Hemp (58')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Souza (59')
McCabe (58'), Maritz (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Super League clash between Manchester City Women and Arsenal Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester Women 0-2 Man City Women
Saturday, February 4 at 11.30am in Women's Super League
Last Game: West Ham 0-0 Arsenal Women
Sunday, February 5 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League

We said: Manchester City Women 1-1 Arsenal Women

After being involved in a close-fought contest in midweek, we expect Saturday's game to be another cagey encounter, which we think will result in the spoils being shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 36.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win was 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Manchester City WomenDrawArsenal Women
36.23% (0.43 0.43) 25.85% (1.941 1.94) 37.92% (-2.373 -2.37)
Both teams to score 54.74% (-6.921 -6.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.49% (-8.969 -8.97)49.51% (8.966 8.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.45% (-8.62 -8.62)71.54% (8.618 8.62)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.51% (-3.912 -3.91)26.48% (3.909 3.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.33% (-5.501 -5.5)61.67% (5.499 5.5)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.47% (-5.177 -5.18)25.53% (5.176 5.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.61% (-7.635 -7.64)60.39% (7.632 7.63)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City Women 36.23%
    Arsenal Women 37.92%
    Draw 25.84%
Manchester City WomenDrawArsenal Women
1-0 @ 8.98% (2.145 2.15)
2-1 @ 8.15% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.97% (0.879 0.88)
3-1 @ 3.61% (-0.411 -0.41)
3-0 @ 2.64% (0.118 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.736 -0.74)
4-1 @ 1.2% (-0.297 -0.3)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 36.23%
1-1 @ 12.26% (1.38 1.38)
0-0 @ 6.76% (2.166 2.17)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.886 -0.89)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.577 -0.58)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.84%
0-1 @ 9.23% (1.917 1.92)
1-2 @ 8.37% (-0.292 -0.29)
0-2 @ 6.3% (0.481 0.48)
1-3 @ 3.81% (-0.788 -0.79)
0-3 @ 2.87% (-0.221 -0.22)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.891 -0.89)
1-4 @ 1.3% (-0.529 -0.53)
0-4 @ 0.98% (-0.25 -0.25)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 37.92%

How you voted: Man City Women vs Arsenal Women

Manchester City Women
50.0%
Draw
16.7%
Arsenal Women
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2022 6.45pm
Man City Women
1-1
Arsenal Women
Shaw (65')
Stanway (16'), Hemp (33'), Weir (90'), Walsh (90+6')
Heath (90+2')
McCabe (32'), Parris (55'), Miedema (83')
Sep 26, 2021 6.45pm
Arsenal Women
5-0
Man City Women
Miedema (10'), Little (23', 78' pen.), McCabe (60'), Williamson (90+4')
Maritz (67')

Stokes (45+3')
Feb 7, 2021 2.30pm
Dec 13, 2020 2.30pm
Man City Women
2-1
Arsenal Women
Mewis (30'), Weir (90+4', 90+4')
Miedema (3')
Beattie (31'), McCabe (87'), Nobbs (90+2')
Feb 2, 2020 2pm
Man City Women
2-1
Arsenal Women
Bremer (43'), Hemp (49')
Stanway (62')
Van de Donk (58')
van de Donk (61'), Mead (77'), Roord (81'), McCabe (84')
rhs 2.0
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