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Women's Super League | Gameweek 16
Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Cheshunt Stadium

Spurs Ladies
1 - 5
Arsenal Women

England (39' pen.)
James (69')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Blackstenius (5'), Foord (29', 70'), Little (66' pen.), Maanum (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Super League clash between Tottenham Hotspur Ladies and Arsenal Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spurs Ladies 1-0 Leicester Women
Wednesday, March 15 at 7pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Bayern Munich 1-0 Arsenal Women
Tuesday, March 21 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

We said: Tottenham Hotspur Ladies 1-3 Arsenal Women

Tottenham would have been relieved to end their winless run last time out, but we think that they will be brushed aside by an Arsenal team that possesses the quality needed to claim a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 72.02%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Tottenham Hotspur Ladies had a probability of 11.36%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.76%), while for a Tottenham Hotspur Ladies win it was 2-1 (3.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result
Tottenham Hotspur LadiesDrawArsenal Women
11.36% (0.06 0.06) 16.62% (0.056999999999999 0.06) 72.02% (-0.116 -0.12)
Both teams to score 52.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.01% (-0.111 -0.11)35.99% (0.11 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.91% (-0.122 -0.12)58.09% (0.123 0.12)
Tottenham Hotspur Ladies Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.76% (0.028000000000006 0.03)42.24% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.36% (0.023 0.02)78.64% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.24% (-0.056000000000012 -0.06)8.76% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.92% (-0.134 -0.13)30.08% (0.134 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Tottenham Hotspur Ladies 11.36%
    Arsenal Women 72.02%
    Draw 16.62%
Tottenham Hotspur LadiesDrawArsenal Women
2-1 @ 3.35% (0.015 0.02)
1-0 @ 3.19% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 1.37% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.17% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 0.96% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 11.36%
1-1 @ 7.76% (0.029 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.07% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.7% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 16.62%
0-2 @ 10.96%
1-2 @ 9.45% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.01% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
0-3 @ 8.9% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 7.67% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-4 @ 5.42% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-4 @ 4.67% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.31% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-5 @ 2.64% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-5 @ 2.28% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-6 @ 1.07% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-5 @ 0.98% (-0.005 -0.01)
1-6 @ 0.92% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 72.02%

How you voted: Spurs Ladies vs Arsenal Women

Tottenham Hotspur Ladies
8.3%
Draw
8.3%
Arsenal Women
83.3%
12
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2022 1.30pm
May 4, 2022 7.15pm
Arsenal Women
3-0
Spurs Ladies
Mead (4'), Foord (71', 82')
McCabe (73')

Simon (24'), Summanen (57'), Green (73'), Clemaron (74')
Nov 13, 2021 1.30pm
Spurs Ladies
1-1
Arsenal Women
Deman (65')
Clemaron (50'), Neville (82'), Ayane (90+1')
Miedema (90+2')
Mead (82')
Mar 27, 2021 3.30pm
Oct 18, 2020 2.30pm
Arsenal Women
6-1
Spurs Ladies
McCabe (4'), Miedema (7', 36', 41'), Foord (15', 64')
McCabe (75')
Leon (77')
Harrop (36'), Dean (61'), Percival (68')
rhs 2.0
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