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Women's Super League | Gameweek 18
Apr 19, 2023 at 7.15pm UK
 

Man Utd Women
1 - 0
Arsenal Women

Russo (45+6')
Zelem (34'), Ladd (45+3'), Batlle (85'), Blundell (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Queiroz (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's Super League clash between Manchester United Women and Arsenal Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last Game: Man Utd Women 3-2 Brighton Women
Saturday, April 15 at 5.15pm in Women's FA Cup

Arsenal Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last Game: Arsenal Women 2-1 Man City Women
Sunday, April 2 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League

We said: Manchester United Women 2-1 Arsenal Women

 Man United have proven to be a tough team to beat on home turf, winning eight of their last nine competitive home matches. After winning the reverse fixture 3-2 in November, we think that the Red Devils will make full use of home advantage to claim another narrow victory over Arsenal on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Arsenal Women had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Arsenal Women win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.

Result
Manchester United WomenDrawArsenal Women
46.38% (0.402 0.4) 23.27% (0.321 0.32) 30.34% (-0.727 -0.73)
Both teams to score 61.9% (-1.599 -1.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.63% (-1.926 -1.93)39.37% (1.922 1.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.29% (-2.041 -2.04)61.71% (2.039 2.04)
Manchester United Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.7% (-0.593 -0.59)17.3% (0.59 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.34% (-1.049 -1.05)47.66% (1.045 1.05)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.85% (-1.39 -1.39)25.15% (1.387 1.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.14% (-1.956 -1.96)59.86% (1.953 1.95)
Score Analysis
    Manchester United Women 46.38%
    Arsenal Women 30.34%
    Draw 23.27%
Manchester United WomenDrawArsenal Women
2-1 @ 9.24% (0.11 0.11)
1-0 @ 7.63% (0.529 0.53)
2-0 @ 6.7% (0.34 0.34)
3-1 @ 5.41% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.92% (0.125 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.73% (-0.183 -0.18)
4-1 @ 2.37% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.72% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.114 -0.11)
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 46.38%
1-1 @ 10.53% (0.33 0.33)
2-2 @ 6.38% (-0.183 -0.18)
0-0 @ 4.35% (0.38 0.38)
3-3 @ 1.72% (-0.158 -0.16)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.27%
1-2 @ 7.27% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
0-1 @ 6.01% (0.3 0.3)
0-2 @ 4.15% (0.045 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.35% (-0.167 -0.17)
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.208 -0.21)
0-3 @ 1.91% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.16% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.117 -0.12)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 30.34%

How you voted: Man Utd Women vs Arsenal Women

Manchester United Women
68.8%
Draw
18.8%
Arsenal Women
12.5%
16
Head to Head
Nov 19, 2022 5.30pm
Arsenal Women
2-3
Man Utd Women
Maanum (46'), Wienroither (73')
Toone (39'), Turner (85'), Russo (90+1')
Parris (43')
Feb 5, 2022 12.30pm
Arsenal Women
1-1
Man Utd Women
Blackstenius (79')
McCabe (57'), Miedema (63')
McCabe (75')
Russo (10')
Caldwell (55')
Nov 21, 2021 12.15pm
Man Utd Women
0-2
Arsenal Women

Blundell (75')
Miedema (48'), McCabe (57' pen.)
McCabe (51')
Mar 19, 2021 6.30pm
Arsenal Women
2-0
Man Utd Women
Turner (3' og.), Wubben-Moy (51')
McCabe (31'), Mead (52'), Walti (79')
Mead (62')
Nov 8, 2020 2.30pm
Man Utd Women
1-0
Arsenal Women
Toone (83')

Wubben-Moy (52')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
> Preview
 
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
Denmark
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Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
Round of 16
England
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Round of 16
Spain
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Georgia
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Round of 16
France
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Round of 16
Portugal
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Tuesday, July 2
 
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Round of 16
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Austria
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Friday, July 5
 
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Saturday, July 6
 
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Winner Match 40
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Tuesday, July 9
 
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Wednesday, July 10
 
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Sunday, July 14
 
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Winner SF1
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> View full version> Results
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121
> European Championship 2024 overview


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